Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0226-1 |
The potential of indigenous agricultural food production under climate change in Hawai'i | |
Kurashima, Natalie1,2; Fortini, Lucas3; Ticktin, Tamara2 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY
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ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 2期号:3页码:191-199 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The value of land-use strategies that increase food production while conserving biodiversity is widely recognized. Many indigenous agroecosystems are productive, adaptive and ecologically principled, but are largely overlooked by planning in terms of their potential to meet current and future food needs. We developed spatial distribution models of indigenous agroecosystems in Hawai` i to identify their potential past distribution, productive and carrying capacities, and future potential under current land-use and mild-to-severe future climate scenarios. Our results suggest that Hawai. i's traditional agroecosystems could have had production levels comparable to consumption today. Carrying capacity estimates support hypotheses of large pre-colonial Hawaiian populations (> 800,000). Urban development has reduced (-13%) traditional agroecosystems but 71% remain agriculturally zoned. Projected effects of three future climate scenarios vary from no change in potential production to decreases of 19% in the driest and warmest end-of-century scenario. This study highlights the food-producing potential of indigenous agriculture even under land-use and climate changes, and the value of their restoration into the future. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000462350500012 |
WOS关键词 | MODEL ; COLONIZATION ; BIODIVERSITY ; AGROFORESTRY ; AGROECOLOGY ; PERSPECTIVE ; RESILIENCE ; RAINFALL ; SYSTEMS ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/289767 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Kamehameha Sch, Nat & Cultural Resources, Kailua, HI 96740 USA; 2.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Bot Dept, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 3.US Geol Survey, Pacific Isl Ecosyst Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kurashima, Natalie,Fortini, Lucas,Ticktin, Tamara. The potential of indigenous agricultural food production under climate change in Hawai'i[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2019,2(3):191-199. |
APA | Kurashima, Natalie,Fortini, Lucas,&Ticktin, Tamara.(2019).The potential of indigenous agricultural food production under climate change in Hawai'i.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2(3),191-199. |
MLA | Kurashima, Natalie,et al."The potential of indigenous agricultural food production under climate change in Hawai'i".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 2.3(2019):191-199. |
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