Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2019WR025502 |
Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty | |
Herman, Jonathan D.1; Quinn, Julianne D.2; Steinschneider, Scott3; Giuliani, Matteo4; Fletcher, Sarah5 | |
2020-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH |
ISSN | 0043-1397 |
EISSN | 1944-7973 |
出版年 | 2020 |
卷号 | 56期号:2 |
文章类型 | Review |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Italy |
英文摘要 | Climate change introduces substantial uncertainty to water resources planning and raises the key question: when, or under what conditions, should adaptation occur? A number of recent studies aim to identify policies mapping future observations to actions-in other words, framing climate adaptation as an optimal control problem. This paper uses the control paradigm to review and classify recent dynamic planning studies according to their approaches to uncertainty characterization, policy structure, and solution methods. We propose a set of research gaps and opportunities in this area centered on the challenge of characterizing uncertainty, which prevents the unambiguous application of control methods to this problem. These include exogenous uncertainty in forcing, model structure, and parameters propagated through a chain of climate and hydrologic models; endogenous uncertainty in human-environmental system dynamics across multiple scales; and sampling uncertainty due to the finite length of historical observations and future projections. Recognizing these challenges, several opportunities exist to improve the use of control methods for climate adaptation, namely, how problem context and understanding of climate processes might assist with uncertainty quantification and experimental design, out-of-sample validation and robustness of optimized adaptation policies, and monitoring and data assimilation, including trend detection, Bayesian inference, and indicator variable selection. We conclude with a summary of recommendations for dynamic water resources planning under climate change through the lens of optimal control. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000535672800014 |
WOS关键词 | STOCHASTIC WEATHER GENERATOR ; ROBUST DECISION-MAKING ; ADAPTIVE POLICY PATHWAYS ; HAZARD RISK-ASSESSMENT ; FLOOD RISK ; SOCIO-HYDROLOGY ; REAL OPTIONS ; MULTIOBJECTIVE OPTIMIZATION ; EVOLUTIONARY ALGORITHMS ; EPISTEMIC UNCERTAINTIES |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Limnology ; Water Resources |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Marine & Freshwater Biology ; Water Resources |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/280531 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Davis, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Davis, CA 95616 USA; 2.Univ Virginia, Dept Engn Syst & Environm, Charlottesville, VA USA; 3.Cornell Univ, Dept Biol & Environm Engn, Ithaca, NY USA; 4.Politecn Milan, Dept Elect Informat & Bioengn, Milan, Italy; 5.MIT, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 77 Massachusetts Ave, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Herman, Jonathan D.,Quinn, Julianne D.,Steinschneider, Scott,et al. Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty[J]. WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,2020,56(2). |
APA | Herman, Jonathan D.,Quinn, Julianne D.,Steinschneider, Scott,Giuliani, Matteo,&Fletcher, Sarah.(2020).Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty.WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH,56(2). |
MLA | Herman, Jonathan D.,et al."Climate Adaptation as a Control Problem: Review and Perspectives on Dynamic Water Resources Planning Under Uncertainty".WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH 56.2(2020). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论