Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2016GL072439 |
Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China | |
Chen, Huopo1,2,3; Sun, Jianqi1,2,3 | |
2017-03-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
![]() |
ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 44期号:5 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | This study provides an estimate of the human influence on increases in daily precipitation extremes over China using data sets from multiple coupled climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5. The effects of human forcings can be detected in the observed changes of daily precipitation extremes, but the effects of external natural forcings as well as the aerosols are not detected using the optimal fingerprint methods. Estimation showed that human influence has increased daily precipitation extremes by approximately 13% (1% to 25% for 90% confidence interval) on average over China in recent decades. With further warming, human influences on precipitation extremes would be amplified. For a temperature increase of 1.5 degrees C with respect to the preindustrial time, the occurrence probability of severe extremes is doubled, and approximately 51% of these events occurring over China are attributable to human influences. This fraction increases with temperature. Furthermore, the contributions of human influences are much stronger for the high-percentile extremes, and the highest sensitivity of the changes in daily precipitation extremes due to human influences is observed in the region of the Tibetan Plateau in the southwest of China. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000398183700044 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE ; ATTRIBUTION ; EVENTS ; CMIP5 ; RISK |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26496 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Atmospher Phys, Nansen Zhu Int Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China; 2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Forecast & Evaluat Meteoro, Nanjing, Peoples R China; 3.Chengdu Univ Informat Technol, Joint Lab Climate & Environm Change, Chengdu, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Chen, Huopo,Sun, Jianqi. Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(5). |
APA | Chen, Huopo,&Sun, Jianqi.(2017).Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(5). |
MLA | Chen, Huopo,et al."Contribution of human influence to increased daily precipitation extremes over China".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.5(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
查看访问统计 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[Chen, Huopo]的文章 |
[Sun, Jianqi]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[Chen, Huopo]的文章 |
[Sun, Jianqi]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[Chen, Huopo]的文章 |
[Sun, Jianqi]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论