Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0747.1 |
Phase Changes and Seasonal Warming in Early Instrumental Temperature Records | |
Hillebrand, Eric1,2; Proietti, Tommaso3 | |
2017-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
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ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:17 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Denmark; Italy |
英文摘要 | Phase analyses of the annual cycle of monthly temperature time series that date back to the eighteenth century show trending behavior that has been difficult to interpret. Negative trends in the estimated phase have been identified with precession of Earth's axis of rotation, but the implied later onset of seasons is at odds with recent satellite measurements and with the phenological record. Positive trends in the phase and the occurrence of trends of both signs in temperature time series from geographically nearby locations have remained mysterious. This paper shows that there is a mathematical equivalence between trends in phases and seasonally differing warming trends, in particular more intense warming in winters than in summers. Using temperature time series from 16 Northern Hemispheric locations reaching back to the eighteenth century and a statistical model that can estimate the seasonal warming trends, the authors reject the hypothesis that the timing of the seasons in these locations is jointly driven by precession. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000407276600012 |
WOS关键词 | CENTRAL ENGLAND TEMPERATURES ; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE ; CLIMATE RECORD ; CYCLE ; MODEL ; ATMOSPHERE ; SERIES ; BIAS ; CO2 |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20375 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Aarhus Univ, Aarhus, Denmark; 2.Ctr Res Econometr Anal Time Series, Aarhus, Denmark; 3.Univ Roma Tor Vergata, Dept Econ & Finance, Rome, Italy |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hillebrand, Eric,Proietti, Tommaso. Phase Changes and Seasonal Warming in Early Instrumental Temperature Records[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(17). |
APA | Hillebrand, Eric,&Proietti, Tommaso.(2017).Phase Changes and Seasonal Warming in Early Instrumental Temperature Records.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(17). |
MLA | Hillebrand, Eric,et al."Phase Changes and Seasonal Warming in Early Instrumental Temperature Records".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.17(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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