Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.02.031 |
How modifications of China's energy data affect carbon mitigation targets | |
Zheng, Heran1; Shan, Yuli1; Mi, Zhifu2; Meng, Jing3; Ou, Jiamin1; Schroeder, Heike1; Guan, Dabo1 | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 116页码:337-343 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Frequent modifications to energy statistics have led to considerable uncertainty in China's ability to achieve its carbon mitigation targets. Here, we quantitatively measure the impact of energy data revisions on China's ability to achieve its mitigation targets. Our results indicate the following effects of data revisions: 1. Mitigation challenges have increased by 5%, and the achievement of national mitigation targets (as well as international pledges) might be postponed by two years. 2. Greater than expected carbon space or emission quota (from 22.94 to 31.31 Gt) will be obtained from 2015 to 2035. 3. CO2 peak levels may become highly uncertain, with the uncertainty varying from 12% to 29%. In addition to national mitigation targets, data revision has profound implications for key industrial sectors. For example, raw coal consumption by the cement and iron and steel industries has long been underestimated, bringing uncertainty to the achievement of industrial mitigation targets. Our results reveal considerable uncertainty in China's energy data, and this uncertainty suggests that previous mitigation achievements have been overestimated and that the mitigation targets, carbon space values, and peak level estimates proposed by future mitigation schemes may not be reached. |
英文关键词 | Mitigation China Uncertainty Data revision CO2 inventory |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000430758200036 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSION ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; UNCERTAINTIES ; STATISTICS |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19184 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ East Anglia, Sch Int Dev, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, Norwich NR4 7TJ, Norfolk, England; 2.UCL, Bartlett Sch Construct & Project Management, London WC1H 0QB, England; 3.Univ Cambridge, Dept Polit & Int Studies, Cambridge CB3 9DT, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Zheng, Heran,Shan, Yuli,Mi, Zhifu,et al. How modifications of China's energy data affect carbon mitigation targets[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,116:337-343. |
APA | Zheng, Heran.,Shan, Yuli.,Mi, Zhifu.,Meng, Jing.,Ou, Jiamin.,...&Guan, Dabo.(2018).How modifications of China's energy data affect carbon mitigation targets.ENERGY POLICY,116,337-343. |
MLA | Zheng, Heran,et al."How modifications of China's energy data affect carbon mitigation targets".ENERGY POLICY 116(2018):337-343. |
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