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DOI | 10.1029/2018GL081608 |
Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes | |
Lewis, Sophie C.1; Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.2; Althor, Glenn3; King, Andrew D.4; Kemp, Luke5 | |
2019-04-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 46期号:7页码:3936-3943 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; England |
英文摘要 | The likelihood and severity of high-impact future temperature extremes can be reduced through climate change mitigation efforts. However, meeting the Paris Agreement warming limits requires notably stronger greenhouse gas emissions reduction efforts by major emitters than existing pledges. We examine the impact of Paris-era decision-making by the world's three largest greenhouse gas emitters (EU, USA, and China) on projected future extreme temperature events. Country-level contributions to the occurrence of future temperature extremes are calculated based on current emissions policies and sequential mitigation efforts, using a new metric called the Contribution to Excess Risk Ratio. We demonstrate the Contribution concept by applying it to extreme monthly temperature projections. In many regions, future extremes depend on the current and future carbon dioxide emissions reductions adopted by major emitters. By implementing stronger Paris-era climate pledges, major emitters can reduce the frequency of future extremes and their own calculated contributions to these temperature extremes. |
英文关键词 | climate change extremes Paris projections attribution |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000465836200039 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE ; ATTRIBUTION ; MITIGATION |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/182387 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ New South Wales, Sch Sci, Canberra, ACT, Australia; 2.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia; 3.Univ Queensland, Sch Earth & Environm Sci, St Lucia, Qld, Australia; 4.Univ Melbourne, Sch Earth Sci, Parkville, Vic, Australia; 5.Univ Cambridge, CSER, Cambridge, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lewis, Sophie C.,Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.,Althor, Glenn,et al. Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(7):3936-3943. |
APA | Lewis, Sophie C.,Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.,Althor, Glenn,King, Andrew D.,&Kemp, Luke.(2019).Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(7),3936-3943. |
MLA | Lewis, Sophie C.,et al."Assessing Contributions of Major Emitters' Paris-Era Decisions to Future Temperature Extremes".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.7(2019):3936-3943. |
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