资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Accurate analyses of stratospheric winds are important for determining realistic constituent transport and providing improved diagnostic studies and forecasts of the stratosphere. This study examines impacts on global meteorological analyses resulting from using winds derived from Loon superpressure balloons in the lower stratosphere (hereafter Loon winds) as additional input observations to the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) data assimilation system. To fully investigate the impacts of assimilating the Loon winds, two steps are taken: (1) comparison of the GEOS analysis winds with Loon winds (Control experiment) and (2) examination of the impacts of assimilating the Loon winds into the GEOS data assimilation system (Loon experiment). The time period selected is June-August 2014 when over 150 Loon balloons were launched, mainly in the Southern Hemisphere. In the middle latitudes, the Loon winds and Control winds agree well (Loon balloon zonal wind observation minus forecast, O-F, root-mean-square (RMS) values of similar to 2.75 m/s) and assimilating the Loon winds has a small impact (O-F RMS values unchanged). In the tropics, the Loon observations and Control analysis winds differ more than in middle latitudes (zonal wind O-F RMS similar to 3.75 m/s) and assimilating the Loon winds improves the zonal wind O-F RMS by similar to 1m/s. In selected cases where the Loon observations and Control analysis differ greatly (O-F RMS values greater than 10m/s), assimilating Loon winds significantly decreases the zonal wind O-F RMS by 5m/s. These decreases in O-F RMS values show that the 6-hr forecasts are improved at the Loon balloon observation locations.

Plain Language Summary While satellites routinely measure Earth's global temperatures from space, in situ wind measurements are relatively scarce, consisting mainly of a network of ground-based weather balloons. Since only a limited number of the weather balloons even reach stratospheric altitudes, there is a need for additional stratospheric observations. One option for addition wind information is the use of experimental superpressure balloons (SPBs). SPBs can remain in the stratosphere for many months traveling with the winds and hence, by reporting their changing positions, providing in situ wind observations. These SPBs experiments are generally limited in terms of time period and number of balloons. However, over the past few years Loon has been launching hundreds of SPBs (hereafter called Loon balloons) providing a more consistent set of observations of wind in the stratosphere. Here we assimilate some of the Loon balloon winds into the NASA GEOS global data assimilation system. The data assimilation system combines all observations with an atmospheric model to produce global analysis of winds and temperatures. Results show that including the Loon balloon wind information noticeably affects the global analysis as well as forecasts with the largest impact in the tropics. These results provide direction to future model and analysis improvements.