Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.017 |
Estimating the learning rate of a technology with multiple variants: The case of carbon storage | |
Upstill, Garrett; Hall, Peter | |
2018-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 121页码:498-505 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia |
英文摘要 | Learning rates enable the generation of first-order estimates of the cost of a technology as cumulative production grows, and play an important role in energy-economic modelling. This paper extends the component-based approach to estimating future learning rates to the case of a technology with multiple variants. It sets out a bottom-up method for estimating the composite learning rate including the situation where the proportional contribution of the different variants changes as cumulative production increases. The method is demonstrated for carbon storage using representative cost and distribution data from recent studies of storage in the European region. Carbon storage comprises four technology variants defined by the nature of the storage reservoir - (onshore or offshore) depleted oil & gas reservoirs and (onshore or offshore) saline aquifers - and each variant has a different learning rate reflecting its different cost structure. Moreover, the proportional contribution of each variant to total storage is likely to change with the growth of global storage capacity. The composite learning rate for carbon storage is estimated for scenarios in which the relative contributions change: a negative learning rate is determined in one scenario. |
英文关键词 | Carbon storage Technology learning Negative learning rate Energy modelling |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445983800049 |
WOS关键词 | EXPERIENCE CURVES ; DEPLOYMENT ; INNOVATION ; COST |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18084 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | UNSW Canberra, Sch Business, Northcott Dr, Canberra, ACT, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Upstill, Garrett,Hall, Peter. Estimating the learning rate of a technology with multiple variants: The case of carbon storage[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,121:498-505. |
APA | Upstill, Garrett,&Hall, Peter.(2018).Estimating the learning rate of a technology with multiple variants: The case of carbon storage.ENERGY POLICY,121,498-505. |
MLA | Upstill, Garrett,et al."Estimating the learning rate of a technology with multiple variants: The case of carbon storage".ENERGY POLICY 121(2018):498-505. |
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