Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13794 |
Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America | |
La Sorte, Frank A.1; Fink, Daniel1; Blancher, Peter J.2; Rodewald, Amanda D.1,3; Ruiz-Gutierrez, Viviana1; Rosenberg, Kenneth V.1; Hochachka, Wesley M.1; Verburg, Peter H.4,5; Kelling, Steve1 | |
2017-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY |
ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 23期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Canada; Netherlands; Switzerland |
英文摘要 | Understanding the susceptibility of highly mobile taxa such as migratory birds to global change requires information on geographic patterns of occurrence across the annual cycle. Neotropical migrants that breed in North America and winter in Central America occur in high concentrations on their non-breeding grounds where they spend the majority of the year and where habitat loss has been associated with population declines. Here, we use eBird data to model weekly patterns of abundance and occurrence for 21 forest passerine species that winter in Central America. We estimate species' distributional dynamics across the annual cycle, which we use to determine how species are currently associated with public protected areas and projected changes in climate and land-use. The effects of global change on the non-breeding grounds is characterized by decreasing precipitation, especially during the summer, and the conversion of forest to cropland, grassland, or peri-urban. The effects of global change on the breeding grounds are characterized by increasing winter precipitation, higher temperatures, and the conversion of forest to peri-urban. During spring and autumn migration, species are projected to encounter higher temperatures, forests that have been converted to peri-urban, and increased precipitation during spring migration. Based on current distributional dynamics, susceptibility to global change is characterized by the loss of forested habitats on the non-breeding grounds, warming temperatures during migration and on the breeding grounds, and declining summer rainfall on the non-breeding grounds. Public protected areas with low and medium protection status are more prevalent on the non-breeding grounds, suggesting that management opportunities currently exist to mitigate near-term non-breeding habitat losses. These efforts would affect more individuals of more species during a longer period of the annual cycle, which may create additional opportunities for species to respond to changes in habitat or phenology that are likely to develop under climate change. |
英文关键词 | Central America climate change eBird land-use change migratory birds protected areas |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000414969000028 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; HABITAT FRAGMENTATION ; BIODIVERSITY ; DRIVERS ; IMPACTS ; MODELS ; LANDSCAPE ; SCENARIOS ; RAINFALL |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16583 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Cornell Univ, Cornell Lab Ornithol, Ithaca, NY 14850 USA; 2.Environm & Climate Change Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada; 3.Cornell Univ, Dept Nat Resources, Fernow Hall, Ithaca, NY 14853 USA; 4.Vrije Univ Amsterdam, Environm Geog Grp, Amsterdam, Netherlands; 5.Swiss Fed Res Inst WSL, Birmensdorf, Switzerland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | La Sorte, Frank A.,Fink, Daniel,Blancher, Peter J.,et al. Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(12). |
APA | La Sorte, Frank A..,Fink, Daniel.,Blancher, Peter J..,Rodewald, Amanda D..,Ruiz-Gutierrez, Viviana.,...&Kelling, Steve.(2017).Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(12). |
MLA | La Sorte, Frank A.,et al."Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.12(2017). |
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