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Ensemble optimisation, multiple constraints and overconfidence: a case study with future Australian precipitation change 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1581-1596
作者:  Herger, Nadja;  Abramowitz, Gab;  Sherwood, Steven;  Knutti, Reto;  Angelil, Oliver;  Sisson, Scott A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Multi-objective optimisation  Pareto optimality  Constraint  Multi-model ensemble  Prediction  Model-as-truth experiments  
On the Linearity of Local and Regional Temperature Changes from 1.5 degrees C to 2 degrees C of Global Warming 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (18) : 7495-7514
作者:  King, Andrew D.;  Knutti, Reto;  Uhe, Peter;  Mitchell, Daniel M.;  Lewis, Sophie C.;  Arblaster, Julie M.;  Freychet, Nicolas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate change  Temperature  Climate models  Model comparison  
Prospects and Caveats of Weighting Climate Models for Summer Maximum Temperature Projections Over North America 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2018, 123 (9) : 4509-4526
作者:  Lorenz, Ruth;  Herger, Nadja;  Sedlacek, Jan;  Eyring, Veronika;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Multidecadal Variability in Global Surface Temperatures Related to the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (7) : 2889-2906
作者:  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Medhaug, Iselin;  Sedlacek, Jan;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Improved Consistency of Climate Projections over Europe after Accounting for Atmospheric Circulation Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (18)
作者:  Saffioti, Claudio;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Contribution of Atlantic and Pacific Multidecadal Variability to Twentieth-Century Temperature Changes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (16)
作者:  Stolpe, Martin B.;  Medhaug, Iselin;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Emergent Constraints in Climate Projections: A Case Study of Changes in High-Latitude Temperature Variability 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (10)
作者:  Borodina, Aleksandra;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Knutti, Reto
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
A climate model projection weighting scheme accounting for performance and interdependence 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (4)
作者:  Knutti, Reto;  Sedlacek, Jan;  Sanderson, Benjamin M.;  Lorenz, Ruth;  Fischer, Erich M.;  Eyring, Veronika
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09