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全球导航卫星系统测量应变率的贝叶斯估计:在美国西南部的应用 快报文章
地球科学快报,2021年第15期
作者:  王晓晨
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:391/0  |  提交时间:2021/08/10
Bayesian Estimation  Strain Rates  
Patterns and trends of Northern Hemisphere snow mass from 1980 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 294-+
作者:  Ibrahim, Nizar;  Maganuco, Simone;  Dal Sasso, Cristiano;  Fabbri, Matteo;  Auditore, Marco;  Bindellini, Gabriele;  Martill, David M.;  Zouhri, Samir;  Mattarelli, Diego A.;  Unwin, David M.;  Wiemann, Jasmina;  Bonadonna, Davide;  Amane, Ayoub;  Jakubczak, Juliana;  Joger, Ulrich;  Lauder, George V.;  Pierce, Stephanie E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25

Warming surface temperatures have driven a substantial reduction in the extent and duration of Northern Hemisphere snow cover(1-3). These changes in snow cover affect Earth'  s climate system via the surface energy budget, and influence freshwater resources across a large proportion of the Northern Hemisphere(4-6). In contrast to snow extent, reliable quantitative knowledge on seasonal snow mass and its trend is lacking(7-9). Here we use the new GlobSnow 3.0 dataset to show that the 1980-2018 annual maximum snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere was, on average, 3,062 +/- 35 billion tonnes (gigatonnes). Our quantification is for March (the month that most closely corresponds to peak snow mass), covers non-alpine regions above 40 degrees N and, crucially, includes a bias correction based on in-field snow observations. We compare our GlobSnow 3.0 estimates with three independent estimates of snow mass, each with and without the bias correction. Across the four datasets, the bias correction decreased the range from 2,433-3,380 gigatonnes (mean 2,867) to 2,846-3,062 gigatonnes (mean 2,938)-a reduction in uncertainty from 33% to 7.4%. On the basis of our bias-corrected GlobSnow 3.0 estimates, we find different continental trends over the 39-year satellite record. For example, snow mass decreased by 46 gigatonnes per decade across North America but had a negligible trend across Eurasia  both continents exhibit high regional variability. Our results enable a better estimation of the role of seasonal snow mass in Earth'  s energy, water and carbon budgets.


Applying a bias correction to a state-of-the-art dataset covering non-alpine regions of the Northern Hemisphere and to three other datasets yields a more constrained quantification of snow mass in March from 1980 to 2018.


  
Spin squeezing of 10(11) atoms by prediction and retrodiction measurements 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7807) : 159-+
作者:  Lan, Jun;  Ge, Jiwan;  Yu, Jinfang;  Shan, Sisi;  Zhou, Huan;  Fan, Shilong;  Zhang, Qi;  Shi, Xuanling;  Wang, Qisheng;  Zhang, Linqi;  Wang, Xinquan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

The measurement sensitivity of quantum probes using N uncorrelated particles is restricted by the standard quantum limit(1), which is proportional to 1/root N. This limit, however, can be overcome by exploiting quantum entangled states, such as spin-squeezed states(2). Here we report the measurement-based generation of a quantum state that exceeds the standard quantum limit for probing the collective spin of 10(11) rubidium atoms contained in a macroscopic vapour cell. The state is prepared and verified by sequences of stroboscopic quantum non-demolition (QND) measurements. We then apply the theory of past quantum states(3,4) to obtain spin state information from the outcomes of both earlier and later QND measurements. Rather than establishing a physically squeezed state in the laboratory, the past quantum state represents the combined system information from these prediction and retrodiction measurements. This information is equivalent to a noise reduction of 5.6 decibels and a metrologically relevant squeezing of 4.5 decibels relative to the coherent spin state. The past quantum state yields tighter constraints on the spin component than those obtained by conventional QND measurements. Our measurement uses 1,000 times more atoms than previous squeezing experiments(5-10), with a corresponding angular variance of the squeezed collective spin of 4.6 x 10(-13) radians squared. Although this work is rooted in the foundational theory of quantum measurements, it may find practical use in quantum metrology and quantum parameter estimation, as we demonstrate by applying our protocol to quantum enhanced atomic magnetometry.


  
Extant timetrees are consistent with a myriad of diversification histories 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 502-+
作者:  Bhaskar, M. K.;  Riedinger, R.;  Machielse, B.;  Levonian, D. S.;  Nguyen, C. T.;  Knall, E. N.;  Park, H.;  Englund, D.;  Loncar, M.;  Sukachev, D. D.;  Lukin, M. D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:19/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

An infinite number of alternative diversification scenarios-which may have markedly different, but equally plausible, dynamics-can underpin a given time-calibrated phylogeny of extant species, suggesting many previous studies have over-interpreted phylogenetic evidence.


Time-calibrated phylogenies of extant species (referred to here as '  extant timetrees'  ) are widely used for estimating diversification dynamics(1). However, there has been considerable debate surrounding the reliability of these inferences(2-5) and, to date, this critical question remains unresolved. Here we clarify the precise information that can be extracted from extant timetrees under the generalized birth-death model, which underlies most existing methods of estimation. We prove that, for any diversification scenario, there exists an infinite number of alternative diversification scenarios that are equally likely to have generated any given extant timetree. These '  congruent'  scenarios cannot possibly be distinguished using extant timetrees alone, even in the presence of infinite data. Importantly, congruent diversification scenarios can exhibit markedly different and yet similarly plausible dynamics, which suggests that many previous studies may have over-interpreted phylogenetic evidence. We introduce identifiable and easily interpretable variables that contain all available information about past diversification dynamics, and demonstrate that these can be estimated from extant timetrees. We suggest that measuring and modelling these identifiable variables offers a more robust way to study historical diversification dynamics. Our findings also make it clear that palaeontological data will continue to be crucial for answering some macroevolutionary questions.


  
An improved self-consistent approach to attenuation correction for C-band polarimetric radar measurements and its impact on quantitative precipitation estimation 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 226: 32-48
作者:  Gou, Yabin;  Chen, Haonan;  Zheng, Jiafeng
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
C-band  Polarimetric radar  Attenuation correction  Quantitative precipitation estimation  
Evaluation of 3B42V7 and IMERG daily-precipitation products for a very high-precipitation region in northwestern South America 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 217: 37-48
作者:  Palomino-Angel, Sebastian;  Anaya-Acevedo, Jesus A.;  Botero, Blanca A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
TRMM  3B42  IMERG  Precipitation estimation  Biogeographic Choco  Accuracy assessment  
An examination of microwave rainfall retrieval biases and their characteristics over the Amazon 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 213: 323-330
作者:  Costa, Izabelly C.;  Machado, Luiz A. T.;  Kummerow, Christian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Satellite rainfall estimation  Passive microwave rainfall estimation  Satellite rainfall estimation errors  
Improvement of rainfall estimation from MSG data using Random Forests classification and regression 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 211: 62-72
作者:  Ouallouche, Fethi;  Lazri, Mourad;  Ameur, Soltane
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Rainfall estimation  Learning machine  Random Forest (RF)  Meteosat Second Generation (MSG)  
A statistical approach to radar rainfall estimates using polarimetric variables 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 209: 65-75
作者:  You, C. -H.;  Kang, M. -Y.;  Hwang, Y.;  Yee, J. -J.;  Jang, M.;  Lee, D-I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Polarimetric variables  Drop size distribution  Multicollinearity  Rainfall estimation  Ensemble member  
Spatial verification approaches as a tool to evaluate the performance of high resolution precipitation forecasts 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2018, 208: 78-87
作者:  Gofa, F.;  Boucouvala, D.;  Louka, P.;  Flocas, H. A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Verification, spatial methods  NWP model evaluation  H-SAF precipitation estimation  COSMO-GR model  Mediterranean convective event