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Population flow drives spatio-temporal distribution of COVID-19 in China 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Fernandez, Diego Carlos;  Komal, Ruchi;  Langel, Jennifer;  Ma, Jun;  Duy, Phan Q.;  Penzo, Mario A.;  Zhao, Haiqing;  Hattar, Samer
收藏  |  浏览/下载:69/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Sudden, large-scale and diffuse human migration can amplify localized outbreaks of disease into widespread epidemics(1-4). Rapid and accurate tracking of aggregate population flows may therefore be epidemiologically informative. Here we use 11,478,484 counts of mobile phone data from individuals leaving or transiting through the prefecture of Wuhan between 1 January and 24 January 2020 as they moved to 296 prefectures throughout mainland China. First, we document the efficacy of quarantine in ceasing movement. Second, we show that the distribution of population outflow from Wuhan accurately predicts the relative frequency and geographical distribution of infections with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) until 19 February 2020, across mainland China. Third, we develop a spatio-temporal '  risk source'  model that leverages population flow data (which operationalize the risk that emanates from epidemic epicentres) not only to forecast the distribution of confirmed cases, but also to identify regions that have a high risk of transmission at an early stage. Fourth, we use this risk source model to statistically derive the geographical spread of COVID-19 and the growth pattern based on the population outflow from Wuhan  the model yields a benchmark trend and an index for assessing the risk of community transmission of COVID-19 over time for different locations. This approach can be used by policy-makers in any nation with available data to make rapid and accurate risk assessments and to plan the allocation of limited resources ahead of ongoing outbreaks.


Modelling of population flows in China enables the forecasting of the distribution of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and the identification of areas at high risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at an early stage.


  
Trends in AOD, Clouds, and Cloud Radiative Effects in Satellite Data and CMIP5 and CMIP6 Model Simulations Over Aerosol Source Regions 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (9)
作者:  Cherian, Ribu;  Quaas, Johannes
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
aerosol emission trend  aerosol optical depth  cloud radiative effects  aerosol source regions  CDNC  climate models  
An open-source drug discovery platform enables ultra-large virtual screens 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7805) : 663-+
作者:  Peron, Simon;  Pancholi, Ravi;  Voelcker, Bettina;  Wittenbach, Jason D.;  olafsdottir, H. Freyja;  Freeman, Jeremy;  Svoboda, Karel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

VirtualFlow, an open-source drug discovery platform, enables the efficient preparation and virtual screening of ultra-large ligand libraries to identify molecules that bind with high affinity to target proteins.


On average, an approved drug currently costs US$2-3 billion and takes more than 10 years to develop(1). In part, this is due to expensive and time-consuming wet-laboratory experiments, poor initial hit compounds and the high attrition rates in the (pre-)clinical phases. Structure-based virtual screening has the potential to mitigate these problems. With structure-based virtual screening, the quality of the hits improves with the number of compounds screened(2). However, despite the fact that large databases of compounds exist, the ability to carry out large-scale structure-based virtual screening on computer clusters in an accessible, efficient and flexible manner has remained difficult. Here we describe VirtualFlow, a highly automated and versatile open-source platform with perfect scaling behaviour that is able to prepare and efficiently screen ultra-large libraries of compounds. VirtualFlow is able to use a variety of the most powerful docking programs. Using VirtualFlow, we prepared one of the largest and freely available ready-to-dock ligand libraries, with more than 1.4 billion commercially available molecules. To demonstrate the power of VirtualFlow, we screened more than 1 billion compounds and identified a set of structurally diverse molecules that bind to KEAP1 with submicromolar affinity. One of the lead inhibitors (iKeap1) engages KEAP1 with nanomolar affinity (dissociation constant (K-d) = 114 nM) and disrupts the interaction between KEAP1 and the transcription factor NRF2. This illustrates the potential of VirtualFlow to access vast regions of the chemical space and identify molecules that bind with high affinity to target proteins.


  
Biomonitoring trace element contamination impacted by atmospheric deposition in China's remote mountains 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 30-41
作者:  Bing, Haijian;  Wu, Yanhong;  Li, Jun;  Xiang, Zhongxiang;  Luo, Xiaosan;  Zhou, Jun;  Sun, Hongyang;  Zhang, Gan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Trace elements  Moss monitoring  Source identification  Pb isotopes  Atmospheric deposition  Mountain regions  
Evaluating Soil Resistance Formulations in Thermal-Based Two-Source Energy Balance (TSEB) Model: Implications for Heterogeneous Semiarid and Arid Regions 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (2) : 1059-1078
作者:  Li, Yan;  Kustas, William P.;  Huang, Chunlin;  Nieto, Hector;  Haghighi, Erfan;  Anderson, Martha C.;  Domingo, Francisco;  Garcia, Monica;  Scott, Russell L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
two-source energy balance model  surface energy fluxes  soil resistance formulation  semiarid and arid regions  
Tall Tower Vertical Profiles and Diurnal Trends of Ammonia in the Colorado Front Range 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2017, 122 (22)
作者:  Tevlin, A. G.;  Li, Y.;  Collett, J. L.;  McDuffie, E. E.;  Fischer, E. V.;  Murphy, J. G.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ammonia  atmospheric chemistry  vertical profiles  diurnal trends  frappe  source regions