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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
3-D Finite Difference Time Domain Simulation of Lightning Strikes to the 634-m Tokyo Skytree 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (17) : 9267-9274
作者:  Araki, S.;  Nasu, Y.;  Baba, Y.;  Rakov, V. A.;  Saito, M.;  Miki, T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
lightning  tall tower  transmission line model  return stroke speed  channel geometry  finite difference time domain (FDTD) method  
Temporal scale dependent interactions between multiple environmental disturbances in microcosm ecosystems 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Garnier, Aurelie;  Pennekamp, Frank;  Lemoine, Melissa;  Petchey, Owen L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
environmental changes  microbial aquatic system  multiple drivers  predictability  resilience  resistance  return time  temporal scales  
A new rapid and efficient method to estimate browse impacts from twig age 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2017, 404
作者:  Waller, Donald M.;  Johnson, Sarah E.;  Witt, Jill C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Monitoring  Keystone herbivore  Deer herbivory  Deer management  Deer exclosure  Browsing return time