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Repetitive floods intensify outmigration and climate gentrification in coastal cities 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  de Koning, Koen;  Filatova, Tatiana
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
agent-based model  flood risk  climate gentrification  housing market  climate change  regime shift  
Regime shift of the hydroclimate-vegetation system in the Yellow River Delta of China from 1982 through 2015 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (2)
作者:  Niu, Beibei;  Zhang, Zixuan;  Yu, Xinyang;  Li, Xinju;  Wang, Zhen;  Loaiciga, Hugo A.;  Peng, Sha
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
regime shift  hydroclimate-vegetation system  time series decomposition  structural change  Yellow River Delta  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Climatic trends in fog occurrence over the Indo-Gangetic plains 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Kutty, Saumya Govindan;  Dimri, Ashok Priyadarshan;  Gultepe, Ismail
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
fog trend  Indo-Gangetic plains  regime shift  visibility  
Factors affecting interdecadal variability of air-sea-CO2 fluxes in the tropical Pacific, revealed by an ocean physical-biogeochemical model 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3985-4004
作者:  Tian, Feng;  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Wang, Xiujun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Tropical Pacific  Interdecadal variability of air-sea CO2 fluxes  Regime shift  Wind speed  Ocean physicalbiogeochemical model  
Understanding the Resilience of Soil Moisture Regimes 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (9) : 7541-7563
作者:  Feng, Maoyuan;  Liu, Pan;  Cai, Ximing;  Wallington, Kevin;  Shi, Liangsheng;  Li, Yu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
soil moisture regime  resilience  stationary pdf  recovery rates  regime shift  agricultural planning  
Reexamination of Fram Strait sea ice export and its role in recently accelerated Arctic sea ice retreat 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1823-1841
作者:  Wei, Jianfen;  Zhang, Xiangdong;  Wang, Zhaomin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Fram Strait  Sea ice export  Regime shift  MITgcm-ECCO2  
Contrasting changes in the sea surface temperature and upper ocean heat content in the South China Sea during recent decades 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1597-1612
作者:  Xiao, Fuan;  Wang, Dongxiao;  Zeng, Lili;  Liu, Qin-Yan;  Zhou, Wen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Sea surface temperature  Upper ocean heat content  South China Sea  Regime shift  Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation  
Recent decrease in genesis productivity of tropical cloud clusters over the Western North Pacific 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 5819-5831
作者:  Zhao, Haikun;  Chen, Shaohua;  Raga, G. B.;  Klotzbach, Philip J.;  Wu, Liguang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Tropical cloud cluster  Genesis productivity  Tropical cyclones  Western North Pacific  Pacific climate regime shift  
Influential role of inter-decadal explosive cyclone activity on the increased frequency of winter storm events in Hokkaido, the northernmost island of Japan 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (3) : 1700-1715
作者:  Tsukijihara, Takumi;  Kawamura, Ryuichi;  Kawano, Tetsuya
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate regime shift  explosive cyclone  Rossby wave propagation