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及时扭转全球变暖可以防止格陵兰冰盖完全崩溃 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第21期
作者:  迪里努尔 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:492/0  |  提交时间:2023/11/05
Greenland ice sheet  Ice-sheet modelling  PISM-dEBM  Yelmo-REMBO  
新研究首次全面评估氢的全球变暖潜力 快报文章
地球科学快报,2023年第12期
作者:  张树良
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:537/0  |  提交时间:2023/06/25
Global Warming Potential of hydrogen  multi-model assessment  hydrogen leakage  atmospheric chemistry  climate and earth system modelling  
科学家首次获得地球深部超低速带的高分辨率影像 快报文章
地球科学快报,2022年第11期
作者:  张树良
Microsoft Word(16Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:630/0  |  提交时间:2022/06/10
core–mantle boundary  ULVZ  numerical modelling  3D waveform modeling  
英澳研究量化生态系统恢复的固碳潜力 快报文章
气候变化快报,2022年第1期
作者:  裴惠娟
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:741/1  |  提交时间:2022/01/04
Ecosystem Restoration  Climate Change  Modelling  
ECMWF与Atos成立天气和气候模拟卓越中心 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第20期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:375/0  |  提交时间:2020/10/20
Weather & Climate Modelling  High-performance Computing  ECMWF  Artificial Intelligence  
The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Quantifying the uncertainty introduced by internal climate variability in projections of Canadian crop production 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Qian, Budong;  Jing, Qi;  Smith, Ward;  Grant, Brian;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Zhang, Xuebin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change impacts  crop production  crop modelling  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Uncertainties in macroeconomic assessments of low-carbon transition pathways - The case of the European iron and steel industry 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 172
作者:  Bachner, G.;  Mayer, J.;  Steininger, K. W.;  Anger-Kraavi, A.;  Smith, A.;  Barker, T. S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Climate change mitigation  Uncertainty  Low carbon transition  Iron and steel  Macroeconomic modelling  Process emissions  
The phosphorus legacy offers opportunities for agro-ecological transition (France 1850-2075) 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Le Noe, J.;  Roux, N.;  Billen, G.;  Gingrich, S.;  Erb, K. -H.;  Krausmann, F.;  Thieu, V;  Silvestre, M.;  Garnier, J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
phosphorus  legacy  agriculture  modelling  trajectories  scenario