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The safe development paradox: An agent-based model for flood risk under climate change in the European Union 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2020, 60
作者:  Haer, Toon;  Husby, Trond G.;  Botzen, W. J. Wouter;  Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Adaptation policy  Agent-based model  Extreme events  Flood risk  Levee effect  Safe development paradox  
Last appearance of Homo erectus at Ngandong, Java, 117,000-108,000 years ago 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 381-+
作者:  Haldane, Andy
收藏  |  浏览/下载:30/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Homo erectus is the founding early hominin species of Island Southeast Asia, and reached Java (Indonesia) more than 1.5 million years ago(1,2). Twelve H. erectus calvaria (skull caps) and two tibiae (lower leg bones) were discovered from a bone bed located about 20 m above the Solo River at Ngandong (Central Java) between 1931 and 1933(3,4), and are of the youngest, most-advanced form of H. erectus(5-8). Despite the importance of the Ngandong fossils, the relationship between the fossils, terrace fill and ages have been heavily debated(9-14). Here, to resolve the age of the Ngandong evidence, we use Bayesian modelling of 52 radiometric age estimates to establish-to our knowledg-the first robust chronology at regional, valley and local scales. We used uranium-series dating of speleothems to constrain regional landscape evolution  luminescence, (40)argon/(39)argon (Ar-40/Ar-39) and uranium-series dating to constrain the sequence of terrace evolution  and applied uranium-series and uranium series-electron-spin resonance (US-ESR) dating to non-human fossils to directly date our re-excavation of Ngandong(5,15). We show that at least by 500 thousand years ago (ka) the Solo River was diverted into the Kendeng Hills, and that it formed the Solo terrace sequence between 316 and 31 ka and the Ngandong terrace between about 140 and 92 ka. Non-human fossils recovered during the re-excavation of Ngandong date to between 109 and 106 ka (uranium-series minimum)(16) and 134 and 118 ka (US-ESR), with modelled ages of 117 to 108 thousand years (kyr) for the H. erectus bone bed, which accumulated during flood conditions(3,17). These results negate the extreme ages that have been proposed for the site and solidify Ngandong as the last known occurrence of this long-lived species.


  
Countrywide climate features during recorded climate-related disasters 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019
作者:  Tschumi, Elisabeth;  Zscheischler, Jakob
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Disaster  Climate extreme  Drought  Flood  Heat wave  Cold wave  
The Role of Rain-on-Snow in Flooding Over the Conterminous United States 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019
作者:  Li, Dongyue;  Lettenmaier, Dennis P.;  Margulis, Steven A.;  Andreadis, Konstantinos
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/16
rain on snow  snow hydrology  flood  hydrologic extreme  climate change  
Increased Fall Precipitation in the Southeastern United States Driven by Higher-Intensity, Frontal Precipitation 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (14) : 8300-8309
作者:  Bishop, Daniel A.;  Williams, A. Park;  Seager, Richard
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
extreme precipitation  frontal  tropical cyclone  fall  southeastern United States  flood  
Performance evaluation of WRF for extreme flood forecasts in a coastal urban environment 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 223: 39-48
作者:  Patel, Pratiman;  Ghosh, Subimal;  Kaginalkar, Akshara;  Islam, Sahidul;  Karmakar, Subhankar
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extreme precipitation  Urban canopy model  Microphysics schemes  Cumulus schemes  Flood forecasting  
Urban Impacts on Extreme Monsoon Rainfall and Flooding in Complex Terrain 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (11) : 5918-5927
作者:  Yang, Long;  Smith, James;  Niyogi, Dev
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
urban impact  extreme rainfall  flood  land-atmosphere interaction  complex terrain  Arizona  
The Relative Importance of Different Flood-Generating Mechanisms Across Europe 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (6) : 4582-4593
作者:  Berghuijs, Wouter R.;  Harrigan, Shaun;  Molnar, Peter;  Slater, Louise J.;  Kirchner, James W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
flood  catchment  snow  rain  extreme event  processes  
Return period of extreme rainfall substantially decreases under 1.5 degrees C and 2.0 degrees C warming: a case study for Uttarakhand, India 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (4)
作者:  Kumari, Savitri;  Haustein, Karsten;  Javid, Hammad;  Burton, Chad;  Allen, Myles R.;  Paltan, Homero;  Dadson, Simon;  Otto, Friederike E. L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
extreme event attribution  climate modelling  return period  1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C of warming  flood  extreme rain  
If Precipitation Extremes Are Increasing, Why Aren't Floods? 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2018, 54 (11) : 8545-8551
作者:  Sharma, Ashish;  Wasko, Conrad;  Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
extreme precipitation  flood magnitude  temperature sensitivity  flood risk  climate change