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Projected Changes in Extreme Precipitation in a 60-km AGCM Large Ensemble and Their Dependence on Return Periods 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Mizuta, Ryo;  Endo, Hirokazu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
extreme events  precipitation  climate change  large ensemble simulations  
Sensitivity of Historical Climate Simulations to Uncertain Aerosol Forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Dittus, Andrea J.;  Hawkins, Ed;  Wilcox, Laura J.;  Sutton, Rowan T.;  Smith, Christopher J.;  Andrews, Martin B.;  Forster, Piers M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
historical aerosol forcing  climate model simulations  Forcing uncertainty  Transient Climate Response  Large ensemble  
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (20) : 10706-10714
作者:  Murakami, Hiroyuki;  Delworth, Thomas L.;  Cooke, William F.;  Zhao, Ming;  Xiang, Baoqiang;  Hsu, Pang-Chi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
tropical cyclones  detection and attribution  large-ensemble simulations  climate change  spatial pattern  
Sensitivity of Hail Precipitation to Ensembles of Uncertainties of Representative Initial Environmental Conditions From ECMWF 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2019, 124 (13) : 6929-6948
作者:  Li, Xiaofei;  Zhang, Fuqing;  Zhang, Qinghong;  Kumjian, Matthew R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
hail precipitation  ensemble simulations  predictability  
Impacts of internal variability on temperature and precipitation trends in large ensemble simulations by two climate models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 289-306
作者:  Dai, Aiguo;  Bloecker, Christine E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Temperature  Precipitation  Trends  Internal variability  Ensemble simulations  CESM1  CanESM2  
The realized warming fraction: a multi-model sensitivity study 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (12)
作者:  Pfister, Patrik L.;  Stocker, Thomas F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate models  ensemble simulations  realized warming fraction  equilibrium climate sensitivity  physical equilibration  energy balance  ocean heat uptake  
Crop production losses associated with anthropogenic climate change for 1981-2010 compared with preindustrial levels 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38 (14) : 5405-5417
作者:  Iizumi, Toshichika;  Shiogama, Hideo;  Imada, Yukiko;  Hanasaki, Naota;  Takikawa, Hiroki;  Nishimori, Motoki
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  crop yields  detection and attribution  ensemble simulations  losses and damages  production losses  
Energetics of transient-eddy and inter-member variabilities in global and regional climate model simulations 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 51: 249-268
作者:  Nikiema, Oumarou;  Laprise, Rene;  Dugas, Bernard
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Ensemble of climate simulations  Transient eddies  Internal variability  Available enthalpy  Kinetic energy  Atmospheric energy conversions  
Current and Future Decadal Trends in the Oceanic Carbon Uptake Are Dominated by Internal Variability 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (2) : 916-925
作者:  Li, Hongmei;  Ilyina, Tatiana
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
oceanic carbon uptake  internal variability  forced signal  large ensemble simulations  Earth system models  decadal trends  
Internal variability in simulated and observed tropical tropospheric temperature trends 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (11)
作者:  Suarez-Gutierrez, Laura;  Li, Chao;  Thorne, Peter W.;  Marotzke, Jochem
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
internal variability  tropical troposphere warming  temperature trends  comparing simulations to observations  CMIP5  MIP-ESM large ensemble  radiosonde