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The need for ecological ethics in a new ecological economics 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 169
作者:  Washington, Haydn;  Maloney, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Ecological economic models  Ecological ethics  Commodification of nature  Steady state economy  Ecocentrism  Neoliberalism  Endless growth  Ecojustice  Rights of nature  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Assessing the causes of diversification slowdowns: temperature-dependent and diversity-dependent models receive equivalent support 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (11) : 1900-1912
作者:  Condamine, Fabien L.;  Rolland, Jonathan;  Morlon, Helene
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Birth-death models  climate change  ecological limits  macroevolution  metabolic theory of biodiversity  paleoclimate  speciation  tetrapods  
Recent Warming Has Resulted in Smaller Gains in Net Carbon Uptake in Northern High Latitudes 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (18) : 5849-5863
作者:  Zhu, Peng;  Zhuang, Qianlai;  Welp, Lisa;  Ciais, Philippe;  Heimann, Martin;  Peng, Bin;  Li, Wenyu;  Bernacchi, Carl;  Roedenbeck, Christian;  Keenan, Trevor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Carbon cycle  Carbon dioxide  Ecological models  
To replicate, or not to replicate - that should not be a question 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (7) : 1174-1175
作者:  Chalcraft, David R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Ecological models  experimental design  general linear model  polynomial contrasts  prediction success  replication  statistics  trend analysis  
Climate change would lead to a sharp acceleration of Central African forests dynamics by the end of the century 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (4)
作者:  Claeys, Florian;  Gourlet-Fleury, Sylvie;  Picard, Nicolas;  Ouedraogo, Dakis-Yaoba;  Tadesse, Mahlet G.;  Herault, Bruno;  Baya, Fidele;  Benedet, Fabrice;  Cornu, Guillaume;  Mortier, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
tropical rainforest  climate change  CORDEX-Africa  M'  Baiki experimental site  ecological guilds  mixture of matrix models  variable selection  
Freshwater Flux and Ocean Chlorophyll Produce Nonlinear Feedbacks in the Tropical Pacific 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (7) : 2037-2055
作者:  Zhang, Rong-Hua;  Tian, Feng;  Busalacchi, Antonio J.;  Wang, Xiujun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Pacific Ocean  Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Freshwater  Coupled models  Ecological models  
Ecosystem Services: On Idealization and Understanding Complexity 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 156: 427-430
作者:  Evans, Nicole M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Conservation planning  Ecosystem services  Ecosystem service assessment  Decision-making  Philosophy of science  Resource management  Social-ecological systems  Scientific models  
A social-ecological network approach for understanding wildfire risk governance 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 54: 113-123
作者:  Hamilton, Matthew;  Fischer, Alexandra Paige;  Ager, Alan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Risk interdependence  Social-ecological networks  Exponential random graph models  Wildfire  
Evaluating Global Land Surface Models in CMIP5: Analysis of Ecosystem Water- and Light-Use Efficiencies and Rainfall Partitioning 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2018, 31 (8) : 2995-3008
作者:  Li, Longhui;  Wang, Yingping;  Arora, Vivek K.;  Eamus, Derek;  Shi, Hao;  Li, Jing;  Cheng, Lei;  Cleverly, James;  Hajima, T.;  Ji, Duoying;  Jones, C.;  Kawamiya, M.;  Li, Weiping;  Tjiputra, J.;  Wiltshire, A.;  Zhang, Lu;  Yu, Qiang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:20/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Ecological models  Hydrologic models  Land surface model  Model comparison  Model evaluation  performance