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世界气象组织发布2011—2020年全球气候报告 快报文章
气候变化快报,2023年第24期
作者:  王田宇 刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(19Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:395/0  |  提交时间:2023/12/20
Accelerated Climate Change  Extreme Weather Events  Climate Impact on Health  Sustainable Development Goals  
航空排放可能影响《巴黎协定》目标的实现 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第13期
作者:  刘莉娜
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:489/0  |  提交时间:2021/07/05
Climate Impact  Aviation Emission  Paris Agreement  COVID-19  
德国智库发布气候影响与和平风险评估报告 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第14期
作者:  曾静静
Microsoft Word(15Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:381/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/20
climate change impact  peace  conflict  risk management  
英国资助气候恢复力项目以增强风险评估与适应管理能力 快报文章
气候变化快报,2020年第11期
作者:  刘燕飞
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:327/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/04
climate change  climate resilience  climate impact  risk assessment  climate adaptation  
Comparative assessment of environmental variables and machine learning algorithms for maize yield prediction in the US Midwest 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (6)
作者:  Kang, Yanghui;  Ozdogan, Mutlu;  Zhu, Xiaojin;  Ye, Zhiwei;  Hain, Christopher;  Anderson, Martha
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
crop yields  climate impact  machine learning  deep learning  data-driven  
The impact of climate change on demand of ski tourism - a simulation study based on stated preferences 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 170
作者:  Steiger, Robert;  Posch, Eva;  Tappeiner, Gottfried;  Walde, Janette
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Winter tourism  Climate change  Regional impact  Choice experiment  Alpine region  Demand simulation  
Preindustrial (CH4)-C-14 indicates greater anthropogenic fossil CH4 emissions 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 578 (7795) : 409-+
作者:  Keener, Megan;  Hunt, Camden;  Carroll, Timothy G.;  Kampel, Vladimir;  Dobrovetsky, Roman;  Hayton, Trevor W.;  Menard, Gabriel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:25/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Atmospheric methane (CH4) is a potent greenhouse gas, and its mole fraction has more than doubled since the preindustrial era(1). Fossil fuel extraction and use are among the largest anthropogenic sources of CH4 emissions, but the precise magnitude of these contributions is a subject of debate(2,3). Carbon-14 in CH4 ((CH4)-C-14) can be used to distinguish between fossil (C-14-free) CH4 emissions and contemporaneous biogenic sources  however, poorly constrained direct (CH4)-C-14 emissions from nuclear reactors have complicated this approach since the middle of the 20th century(4,5). Moreover, the partitioning of total fossil CH4 emissions (presently 172 to 195 teragrams CH4 per year)(2,3) between anthropogenic and natural geological sources (such as seeps and mud volcanoes) is under debate  emission inventories suggest that the latter account for about 40 to 60 teragrams CH4 per year(6,7). Geological emissions were less than 15.4 teragrams CH4 per year at the end of the Pleistocene, about 11,600 years ago(8), but that period is an imperfect analogue for present-day emissions owing to the large terrestrial ice sheet cover, lower sea level and extensive permafrost. Here we use preindustrial-era ice core (CH4)-C-14 measurements to show that natural geological CH4 emissions to the atmosphere were about 1.6 teragrams CH4 per year, with a maximum of 5.4 teragrams CH4 per year (95 per cent confidence limit)-an order of magnitude lower than the currently used estimates. This result indicates that anthropogenic fossil CH4 emissions are underestimated by about 38 to 58 teragrams CH4 per year, or about 25 to 40 per cent of recent estimates. Our record highlights the human impact on the atmosphere and climate, provides a firm target for inventories of the global CH4 budget, and will help to inform strategies for targeted emission reductions(9,10).


Isotopic evidence from ice cores indicates that preindustrial-era geological methane emissions were lower than previously thought, suggesting that present-day emissions of methane from fossil fuels are underestimated.


  
Africa's Climate Response to Solar Radiation Management With Stratospheric Aerosol 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (2)
作者:  Pinto, Izidine;  Jack, Christopher;  Lennard, Christopher;  Tilmes, Simone;  Odoulami, Romaric C.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Africa  SRM  impact  extreme  climate  
Observational and modelling evidence of a zonal circulation over the North Pacific 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Zou, Youjia;  Xi, Xiangying
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
NH climate change  North Pacific  significant impact  thermal driving  zonal overturning circulation cell  
Importance and vulnerability of the world's water towers 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 364-+
作者:  Krebs, John R.;  Hassell, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:49/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Mountains are the water towers of the world, supplying a substantial part of both natural and anthropogenic water demands(1,2). They are highly sensitive and prone to climate change(3,4), yet their importance and vulnerability have not been quantified at the global scale. Here we present a global water tower index (WTI), which ranks all water towers in terms of their water-supplying role and the downstream dependence of ecosystems and society. For each water tower, we assess its vulnerability related to water stress, governance, hydropolitical tension and future climatic and socioeconomic changes. We conclude that the most important (highest WTI) water towers are also among the most vulnerable, and that climatic and socio-economic changes will affect them profoundly. This could negatively impact 1.9 billion people living in (0.3 billion) or directly downstream of (1.6 billion) mountainous areas. Immediate action is required to safeguard the future of the world'  s most important and vulnerable water towers.