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Development of advanced artificial intelligence models for daily rainfall prediction 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 237
作者:  Binh Thai Pham;  Lu Minh Le;  Tien-Thinh Le;  Kien-Trinh Thi Bui;  Vuong Minh Le;  Hai-Bang Ly;  Prakash, Indra
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Rainfall  Artificial Neural Networks  Robustness analysis  Support Vector Machines  Adaptive Network based Fuzzy Inference System  Particle Swarm Optimization  
Extreme rainfall triggered the 2018 rift eruption at Kilauea Volcano 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7804) : 491-+
作者:  Cloutier, Richard;  Clement, Alice M.;  Lee, Michael S. Y.;  Noel, Roxanne;  Bechard, Isabelle;  Roy, Vincent;  Long, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:33/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

The May 2018 rift intrusion and eruption of Kilauea Volcano, Hawai'  i, represented one of its most extraordinary eruptive sequences in at least 200 years, yet the trigger mechanism remains elusive(1). The event was preceded by several months of anomalously high precipitation. It has been proposed that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity(2,3), but it remains unknown whether it can have impacts at the greater depths associated with magma transport. Here we show that immediately before and during the eruption, infiltration of rainfall into Kilauea Volcano'  s subsurface increased pore pressure at depths of 1 to 3 kilometres by 0.1 to 1 kilopascals, to its highest pressure in almost 50 years. We propose that weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice was driven by changes in pore pressure within the rift zone, prompting opportunistic dyke intrusion and ultimately facilitating the eruption. A precipitation-induced eruption trigger is consistent with the lack of precursory summit inflation, showing that this intrusion-unlike others-was not caused by the forceful intrusion of new magma into the rift zone. Moreover, statistical analysis of historic eruption occurrence suggests that rainfall patterns contribute substantially to the timing and frequency of Kilauea'  s eruptions and intrusions. Thus, volcanic activity can be modulated by extreme rainfall triggering edifice rock failure-a factor that should be considered when assessing volcanic hazards. Notably, the increasingly extreme weather patterns associated with ongoing anthropogenic climate change could increase the potential for rainfall-triggered volcanic phenomena worldwide.


Immediately before and during the eruption of Ki & x304  lauea Volcano in May 2018, anomalously high rainfall increased the pore pressure in the subsurface to its highest level in 50 years, causing weakening and mechanical failure of the edifice.


  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall Patterns and Predictability over Southeast China 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2020, 56 (2)
作者:  Dai, Lun;  Cheng, Tat Fan;  Lu, Mengqian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Rainfall Predictability  Data Mining  Monsoon  Climate  Spatiotemporal Analysis  Southeast China  
Innovative trend analysis of annual and seasonal rainfall in the Yangtze River Delta, eastern China 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 231
作者:  Wang, Yuefeng;  Xu, Youpeng;  Tabari, Hossein;  Wang, Jie;  Wang, Qiang;  Song, Song;  Hu, Zunle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Rainfall trends  Extremes  Graphical trend analysis  Trend significance and magnitude  
Recent rainfall trend over Sri Lanka (1987-2017) 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Nisansala, W. D. S.;  Abeysingha, N. S.;  Islam, Adlul;  Bandara, A. M. K. R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Innovative Trend Analysis  Mann-Kendall test  rainfall  Sri Lanka  
Northern Hemisphere land monsoon precipitation changes in the twentieth century revealed by multiple reanalysis datasets 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 7131-7149
作者:  Huang, Xin;  Zhou, Tianjun;  Zhang, Wenxia;  Jiang, Jie;  Li, Puxi;  Zhao, Yin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Northern Hemisphere land monsoon rainfall  Long-term changes  Reanalysis data  Moisture budget analysis  
Tropical cyclone-Induced heavy rainfall and flow in Colima, Western Mexico 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Khouakhi, Abdou;  Pattison, Ian;  Lopez-de la Cruz, Jesus;  Martinez-Diaz, Teresa;  Mendoza-Cano, Oliver;  Martinez, Miguel
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
analysis  floods  geophysical sphere  hydrology  observational data analysis  physical phenomenon  rainfall  tools and methods  tropical cyclones  
Characterizing rainfall in the south-western Cape, South Africa: 1841-2016 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Ndebele, Nothabo E.;  Grab, Stefan;  Turasie, Alemtsehai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Cape Town  Mann Kendall test  continuous wavelet analysis  periodicity  rainfall trends  sunspots  
Spatial-temporal analysis of precipitation variability in Qinghai Province, China 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 228: 242-260
作者:  Yang, Huiling;  Xiao, Hui;  Guo, Chunwei;  Sun, Yue
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Mann-Kendall test  ITA  Ratio statistic method  Rainfall  Trend analysis  Qinghai  
Uncertainty of stationary and nonstationary models for rainfall frequency analysis 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Ouarda, Taha B. M. J.;  Charron, Christian;  St-Hilaire, Andre
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
arid-climate  climate oscillation index  nonstationary frequency analysis  parametric bootstrap  rainfall  teleconnection  uncertainty  United Arab Emirates