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Current European flood-rich period exceptional compared with past 500 years 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7817) : 560-+
作者:  ;  nter Blö;  schl;  Andrea Kiss;  Alberto Viglione;  Mariano Barriendos;  Oliver Bö;  hm;  Rudolf Brá;  zdil;  Denis Coeur;  Gaston Demaré;  e;  Maria Carmen Llasat;  Neil Macdonald;  Dag Retsö;  Lars Roald;  Petra Schmocker-Fackel;  Inê;  s Amorim;  Monika Bě;  ;  nová;  Gerardo Benito;  Chiara Bertolin;  Dario Camuffo;  Daniel Cornel;  Radosł;  aw Doktor;  ;  bor Elleder;  Silvia Enzi;  Joã;  o Carlos Garcia;  ;  diger Glaser;  Julia Hall;  Klaus Haslinger;  Michael Hofstä;  tter;  ;  rgen Komma;  Danuta Limanó;  wka;  David Lun;  Andrei Panin;  Juraj Parajka;  Hrvoje Petrić;  Fernando S. Rodrigo;  Christian Rohr;  Johannes Schö;  nbein;  Lothar Schulte;  Luí;  s Pedro Silva;  Willem H. J. Toonen;  Peter Valent;  ;  rgen Waser;  Oliver Wetter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:42/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

There are concerns that recent climate change is altering the frequency and magnitude of river floods in an unprecedented way(1). Historical studies have identified flood-rich periods in the past half millennium in various regions of Europe(2). However, because of the low temporal resolution of existing datasets and the relatively low number of series, it has remained unclear whether Europe is currently in a flood-rich period from a long-term perspective. Here we analyse how recent decades compare with the flood history of Europe, using a new database composed of more than 100 high-resolution (sub-annual) historical flood series based on documentary evidence covering all major regions of Europe. We show that the past three decades were among the most flood-rich periods in Europe in the past 500 years, and that this period differs from other flood-rich periods in terms of its extent, air temperatures and flood seasonality. We identified nine flood-rich periods and associated regions. Among the periods richest in floods are 1560-1580 (western and central Europe), 1760-1800 (most of Europe), 1840-1870 (western and southern Europe) and 1990-2016 (western and central Europe). In most parts of Europe, previous flood-rich periods occurred during cooler-than-usual phases, but the current flood-rich period has been much warmer. Flood seasonality is also more pronounced in the recent period. For example, during previous flood and interflood periods, 41 per cent and 42 per cent of central European floods occurred in summer, respectively, compared with 55 per cent of floods in the recent period. The exceptional nature of the present-day flood-rich period calls for process-based tools for flood-risk assessment that capture the physical mechanisms involved, and management strategies that can incorporate the recent changes in risk.


Analysis of thousands of historical documents recording floods in Europe shows that flooding characteristics in recent decades are unlike those of previous centuries.


  
Olfactory sniffing signals consciousness in unresponsive patients with brain injuries 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Hellmuth, Susanne;  Gomez-H, Laura;  Pendas, Alberto M.;  Stemmann, Olaf
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

After severe brain injury, it can be difficult to determine the state of consciousness of a patient, to determine whether the patient is unresponsive or perhaps minimally conscious(1), and to predict whether they will recover. These diagnoses and prognoses are crucial, as they determine therapeutic strategies such as pain management, and can underlie end-of-life decisions(2,3). Nevertheless, there is an error rate of up to 40% in determining the state of consciousness in patients with brain injuries(4,5). Olfaction relies on brain structures that are involved in the basic mechanisms of arousal(6), and we therefore hypothesized that it may serve as a biomarker for consciousness(7). Here we use a non-verbal non-task-dependent measure known as the sniff response(8-11) to determine consciousness in patients with brain injuries. By measuring odorant-dependent sniffing, we gain a sensitive measure of olfactory function(10-15). We measured the sniff response repeatedly over time in patients with severe brain injuries and found that sniff responses significantly discriminated between unresponsive and minimally conscious states at the group level. Notably, at the single-patient level, if an unresponsive patient had a sniff response, this assured future regaining of consciousness. In addition, olfactory sniff responses were associated with long-term survival rates. These results highlight the importance of olfaction in human brain function, and provide an accessible tool that signals consciousness and recovery in patients with brain injuries.


Odorant-dependent sniff responses predicted the long-term survival rates of patients with severe brain injury, and discriminated between individuals who were unresponsive and in minimally conscious states.


  
Diverging perceptions by social groups on cultural ecosystem services provided by urban green 期刊论文
LANDSCAPE AND URBAN PLANNING, 2018, 175: 161-168
作者:  Riechers, Maraja;  Barkmann, Jan;  Tscharntke, Teja
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Berlin  Cultural ecosystem services  Planning strategies  Social research methods  Urban green space management  
Forest management for adaptation to climate change in the Mediterranean basin: A synthesis of evidence 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2018, 407: 16-22
作者:  Vila-Cabrera, Albert;  Coll, Lluis;  Martinez-Vilalta, Jordi;  Retana, Javier
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate change  Disturbance  Forest adaptation  Management strategies  Mediterranean ecosystems  Resilience  Trade-off