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The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:27/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
Glacier mass budget and climate reanalysis data indicate a climatic shift around 2000 in Lahaul-Spiti, western Himalaya 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2018, 148: 219-233
作者:  Mukherjee, Kriti;  Bhattacharya, Atanu;  Pieczonka, Tino;  Ghosh, Susmita;  Bolch, Tobias
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Lahaul-Spiti  Indian Himalaya  US spy satellite image  Glacier changes  Geodetic mass balance  Climate reanalysis data  Climatic trend  
Guidelines on Best Practices for Climate Data Rescue 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2016
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climatic data  Guidelines  - International  Technical Publications  
WCDMP, 84. Eighth Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Control in Climatological Databases and Third Conference on Spatial Interpolation Techniques in Climatology and Meteorology 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2015
作者:  World Meteorological OrganizationEvent:
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climatic data  Information management  World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme (WCDMP)  - International  
Eighth Seminar for Homogenization and Quality Control in Climatological Databases and Third Conference on Spatial Interpolation Techniques in Climatology and Meteorology 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2015
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climatic data  Information management  World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme (WCDMP)  - International  
WCDMP, 83. IDARE White Paper 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climatic data  Information management  World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme (WCDMP)  - International  
Climate Data Management System Specifications 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Information management  Climatic data  - International  Technical Publications  
IDARE White Paper 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2014
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Climatic data  Information management  World Climate Data and Monitoring Programme (WCDMP)  - International  
Proceedings of the third International workshop on advances in the use of historical marine climate data 科技报告
来源:World Meteorological Organization (WMO). 出版年: 2011
作者:  World Meteorological Organization
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/05
Information management  Marine meteorology  Climatic data  - International  Joint WMO/ IOC Technical Commission for Oceanography and Marine Meteorology (JCOMM)  JCOMM TR 59