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Evaluation of hot temperature extremes and heat waves in the Mississippi River Basin 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 239
作者:  Tavakol, Ameneh;  Rahmani, Vahid;  Harrington, John, Jr.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Climatic nonstationarity  Hot extremes  Heat waves  Spatiotemporal trend analysis  Water  Change-point  Agriculture  Economy  Human and animal health  
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
Importance and vulnerability of the world's water towers 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7790) : 364-+
作者:  Krebs, John R.;  Hassell, Michael
收藏  |  浏览/下载:49/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Mountains are the water towers of the world, supplying a substantial part of both natural and anthropogenic water demands(1,2). They are highly sensitive and prone to climate change(3,4), yet their importance and vulnerability have not been quantified at the global scale. Here we present a global water tower index (WTI), which ranks all water towers in terms of their water-supplying role and the downstream dependence of ecosystems and society. For each water tower, we assess its vulnerability related to water stress, governance, hydropolitical tension and future climatic and socioeconomic changes. We conclude that the most important (highest WTI) water towers are also among the most vulnerable, and that climatic and socio-economic changes will affect them profoundly. This could negatively impact 1.9 billion people living in (0.3 billion) or directly downstream of (1.6 billion) mountainous areas. Immediate action is required to safeguard the future of the world'  s most important and vulnerable water towers.


  
Synergistic and antagonistic effects of land use and non-native species on community responses to climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (12) : 4303-4314
作者:  Auffret, Alistair G.;  Thomas, Chris D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
biodiversity  climatic debt  community thermal index  historical ecology  invasive species  landscape change  precipitation  thermophilzation  
Rising mean and extreme near-surface air temperature across Nepal 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Karki, Ramchandra;  ul Hasson, Shabeh;  Gerlitz, Lars;  Talchabhadel, Rocky;  Schickhoff, Udo;  Scholten, Thomas;  Boehner, Juergen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
adaptation  climate change  climatic extremes  Himalayas  increase in warm days and nights  Nepal  
Trends and controls on water-use efficiency of an old-growth coniferous forest in the Pacific Northwest 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (7)
作者:  Jiang, Yueyang;  Still, Christopher J.;  Rastogi, Bharat;  Page, Gerald F. M.;  Wharton, Sonia;  Meinzer, Frederick C.;  Voelker, Steven;  Kim, John B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
water-use efficiency  carbon and water fluxes  old-growth coniferous forest  drought  climatic change  
Climatic variability and changing reproductive goals in Sub-Saharan Africa 期刊论文
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS, 2019, 57
作者:  Eissler, Sarah;  Thiede, Brian C.;  Strube, Johann
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Climate change  Climatic variability  Fertility  Fertility preferences  Sub-Saharan Africa  
Plant phenology and global climate change: Current progresses and challenges 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (6) : 1922-1940
作者:  Piao, Shilong;  Liu, Qiang;  Chen, Anping;  Janssens, Ivan A.;  Fu, Yongshuo;  Dai, Junhu;  Liu, Lingli;  Lian, Xu;  Shen, Miaogen;  Zhu, Xiaolin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change  climatic feedback  ecological implications  leaf coloring  leaf unfolding  mechanisms and drivers  phenological modeling  plant phenology  satellite-derived phenology  
Seasonal climatic effects and feedbacks of anthropogenic heat release due to global energy consumption with CAM5 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6377-6390
作者:  Chen, Bing;  Wu, C.;  Liu, X.;  Chen, L.;  Wu, Jian;  Yang, H.;  Luo, Tao;  Wu, Xue;  Jiang, Yiquan;  Jiang, Lei;  Brown, H. Y.;  Lu, Z.;  Fan, W.;  Lin, G.;  Sun, Bo;  Wu, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Anthropogenic heat release  Climatic effect  Climate feedback  Climate change  
New records of monthly temperature extremes as a signal of climate change in Italy 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (4) : 2491-2503
作者:  Amendola, Stefano;  Maimone, Filippo;  Pelino, Vinicio;  Pasini, Antonello
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
climate change detection  climatic extremes  constant climate hypothesis  temperature historical records