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Significant impact of forcing uncertainty in a large ensemble of climate model simulations 期刊论文
Proceedings of the National Academy of Science, 2021
作者:  John C. Fyfe;  Viatcheslav V. Kharin;  Benjamin D. Santer;  Jason N. S. Cole;  Nathan P. Gillett
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2021/06/15
North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply 期刊论文
Nature, 2020
作者:  D. M. Smith;  A. A. Scaife;  R. Eade;  P. Athanasiadis;  A. Bellucci;  I. Bethke;  R. Bilbao;  L. F. Borchert;  L.-P. Caron;  F. Counillon;  G. Danabasoglu;  T. Delworth;  F. J. Doblas-Reyes;  N. J. Dunstone;  V. Estella-Perez;  S. Flavoni;  L. Hermanson;  N. Keenlyside;  V. Kharin;  M. Kimoto;  W. J. Merryfield;  J. Mignot;  T. Mochizuki;  K. Modali;  P.-A. Monerie;  W. A. Mü;  ller;  D. Nicolí;  P. Ortega;  K. Pankatz;  H. Pohlmann;  J. Robson;  P. Ruggieri;  R. Sospedra-Alfonso;  D. Swingedouw;  Y. Wang;  S. Wild;  S. Yeager;  X. Yang;  L. Zhang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09
Differences in potential and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52 (11) : 6619-6631
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Kharin, V. V.;  Merryfield, W. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill  
Relationships between potential, attainable, and actual skill in a decadal prediction experiment 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 4813-4831
作者:  Boer, G. J.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Kharin, V. V.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Decadal prediction  Predictability  Skill  Potential skill  
Understanding Rapid Adjustments to Diverse Forcing Agents 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (21) : 12023-12031
作者:  Smith, C. J.;  Kramer, R. J.;  Myhre, G.;  Forster, P. M.;  Soden, B. J.;  Andrews, T.;  Boucher, O.;  Faluvegi, G.;  Flaschner, D.;  Hodnebrog, O.;  Kasoar, M.;  Kharin, V.;  Kirkevag, A.;  Lamarque, J. -F.;  Muelmenstaedt, J.;  Olivie, D.;  Richardson, T.;  Samset, B. H.;  Shindell, D.;  Stier, P.;  Takemura, T.;  Voulgarakis, A.;  Watson-Parris, D.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 degrees C 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (21) : 11895-11903
作者:  Smith, D. M.;  Scaife, A. A.;  Hawkins, E.;  Bilbao, R.;  Boer, G. J.;  Caian, M.;  Caron, L. -P.;  Danabasoglu, G.;  Delworth, T.;  Doblas-Reyes, F. J.;  Doescher, R.;  Dunstone, N. J.;  Eade, R.;  Hermanson, L.;  Ishii, M.;  Kharin, V.;  Kimoto, M.;  Koenigk, T.;  Kushnir, Y.;  Matei, D.;  Meehl, G. A.;  Menegoz, M.;  Merryfield, W. J.;  Mochizuki, T.;  Mueller, W. A.;  Pohlmann, H.;  Power, S.;  Rixen, M.;  Sospedra-Alfonso, R.;  Tuma, M.;  Wyser, K.;  Yang, X.;  Yeager, S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Remarkable separability of circulation response to Arctic sea ice loss and greenhouse gas forcing 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 44 (15)
作者:  McCusker, K. E.;  Kushner, P. J.;  Fyfe, J. C.;  Sigmond, M.;  Kharin, V. V.;  Bitz, C. M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09