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气候变化可能导致北美第四纪晚期巨型动物减少 快报文章
气候变化快报,2021年第5期
作者:  董利苹
Microsoft Word(14Kb)  |  收藏  |  浏览/下载:467/0  |  提交时间:2021/03/05
Climate Change  Human Population Growth  North America  Late Quaternary  Megafauna  
The timing and effect of the earliest human arrivals in North America 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020
作者:  Lorena Becerra-Valdivia;  Thomas Higham
收藏  |  浏览/下载:26/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

The peopling of the Americas marks a major expansion of humans across the planet. However, questions regarding the timing and mechanisms of this dispersal remain, and the previously accepted model (termed '  Clovis-first'  )-suggesting that the first inhabitants of the Americas were linked with the Clovis tradition, a complex marked by distinctive fluted lithic points(1)-has been effectively refuted. Here we analyse chronometric data from 42 North American and Beringian archaeological sites using a Bayesian age modelling approach, and use the resulting chronological framework to elucidate spatiotemporal patterns of human dispersal. We then integrate these patterns with the available genetic and climatic evidence. The data obtained show that humans were probably present before, during and immediately after the Last Glacial Maximum (about 26.5-19 thousand years ago)(2,3)but that more widespread occupation began during a period of abrupt warming, Greenland Interstadial 1 (about 14.7-12.9 thousand years beforead 2000)(4). We also identify the near-synchronous commencement of Beringian, Clovis and Western Stemmed cultural traditions, and an overlap of each with the last dates for the appearance of 18 now-extinct faunal genera. Our analysis suggests that the widespread expansion of humans through North America was a key factor in the extinction of large terrestrial mammals.


A Bayesian age model suggests that human dispersal to the Americas probably began before the Last Glacial Maximum, overlapping with the last dates of appearance for several faunal genera.


  
Patterns and trends of Northern Hemisphere snow mass from 1980 to 2018 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7808) : 294-+
作者:  Ibrahim, Nizar;  Maganuco, Simone;  Dal Sasso, Cristiano;  Fabbri, Matteo;  Auditore, Marco;  Bindellini, Gabriele;  Martill, David M.;  Zouhri, Samir;  Mattarelli, Diego A.;  Unwin, David M.;  Wiemann, Jasmina;  Bonadonna, Davide;  Amane, Ayoub;  Jakubczak, Juliana;  Joger, Ulrich;  Lauder, George V.;  Pierce, Stephanie E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25

Warming surface temperatures have driven a substantial reduction in the extent and duration of Northern Hemisphere snow cover(1-3). These changes in snow cover affect Earth'  s climate system via the surface energy budget, and influence freshwater resources across a large proportion of the Northern Hemisphere(4-6). In contrast to snow extent, reliable quantitative knowledge on seasonal snow mass and its trend is lacking(7-9). Here we use the new GlobSnow 3.0 dataset to show that the 1980-2018 annual maximum snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere was, on average, 3,062 +/- 35 billion tonnes (gigatonnes). Our quantification is for March (the month that most closely corresponds to peak snow mass), covers non-alpine regions above 40 degrees N and, crucially, includes a bias correction based on in-field snow observations. We compare our GlobSnow 3.0 estimates with three independent estimates of snow mass, each with and without the bias correction. Across the four datasets, the bias correction decreased the range from 2,433-3,380 gigatonnes (mean 2,867) to 2,846-3,062 gigatonnes (mean 2,938)-a reduction in uncertainty from 33% to 7.4%. On the basis of our bias-corrected GlobSnow 3.0 estimates, we find different continental trends over the 39-year satellite record. For example, snow mass decreased by 46 gigatonnes per decade across North America but had a negligible trend across Eurasia  both continents exhibit high regional variability. Our results enable a better estimation of the role of seasonal snow mass in Earth'  s energy, water and carbon budgets.


Applying a bias correction to a state-of-the-art dataset covering non-alpine regions of the Northern Hemisphere and to three other datasets yields a more constrained quantification of snow mass in March from 1980 to 2018.


  
Observed and Simulated Precipitation over Northeastern North America: How Do Daily and Subdaily Extremes Scale in Space and Time? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8563-8582
作者:  Innocenti, Silvia;  Mailhot, Alain;  Frigon, Anne;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Leduc, Martin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
North America  Extreme events  Precipitation  Ensembles  Model evaluation  performance  Seasonal cycle  
Multiscale trends and precipitation extremes in the Central American Midsummer Drought 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 14 (12)
作者:  Anderson, Talia G.;  Anchukaitis, Kevin J.;  Pons, Diego;  Taylor, Matthew
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Midsummer Drought  Central America  agriculture  North Atlantic Subtropical High  Caribbean Low Level Jet  trends  
Trends in Persistent Seasonal-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Responsible for Seasonal Precipitation Totals and Occurrences of Precipitation Extremes over Canada 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7105-7126
作者:  Tan, Xuezhi;  Gan, Thian Yew;  Chen, Shu;  Horton, Daniel E.;  Chen, Xiaohong;  Liu, Bingjun;  Lin, Kairong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North America  Large-scale motions  Mesoscale systems  Stratospheric circulation  Climate variability  Moisture  moisture budget  
An Objective Classification and Analysis of Upper-Level Coupling to the Great Plains Low-Level Jet over the Twentieth Century 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7127-7152
作者:  Burrows, D. Alex;  Ferguson, Craig R.;  Campbell, Matthew A.;  Xia, Geng;  Bosart, Lance F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North America  Synoptic climatology  Jets  Climate variability  Interannual variability  Regional effects  
The role of horizontal thermal advection in regulating wintertime mean and extreme temperatures over interior North America during the past and future 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 6125-6144
作者:  Wang, Fuyao;  Vavrus, Stephen J.;  Francis, Jennifer A.;  Martin, Jonathan E.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Thermal advection  Extreme temperatures  Future projection  CESM large ensemble  North America  Arctic amplification  
Using Self-Organizing Maps to Identify Coherent CONUS Precipitation Regions 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (22) : 7747-7761
作者:  Swenson, Leif M.;  Grotjahn, Richard
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere  North America  Precipitation  Climate classification  regimes  Climatology  Neural networks  
Extreme Snow Events along the Coast of the Northeast United States: Analysis of Observations and HiRAM Simulations 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (21) : 7561-7574
作者:  Chen, Guoxing;  Wang, Wei-Chyung;  Tao, Lijun;  Hsu, Huang-Hsiung;  Tu, Chia-Ying;  Cheng, Chao-Tzuen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
North America  Synoptic climatology  Snowfall  Winter  cool season  Climate change  Climate models