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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
The impact of rising CO2 and acclimation on the response of US forests to global warming 期刊论文
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019, 116 (51) : 25734-25744
作者:  John S. Sperry;  Martin D. Venturas;  Henry N. Todd;  Anna T. Trugman;  William R. L. Anderegg;  Yujie Wang;  and Xiaonan Tai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16
acclimation  climate change  drought  forest resilience  vegetation modeling  
Landowner behavior can determine the success of conservation strategies for ecosystem migration under sea-level rise 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (34) : 9134-9139
作者:  Field, Christopher R.;  Dayer, Ashley A.;  Elphick, Chris S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
tidal marsh migration  shoreline protection  coastal resilience  climate change beliefs  conservation easements  
Reversal of a cyanobacterial bloom in response to early warnings 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (2) : 352-357
作者:  Pace, Michael L.;  Batt, Ryan D.;  Buelo, Cal D.;  Carpenter, Stephen R.;  Cole, Jonathan J.;  Kurtzweil, Jason T.;  Wilkinson, Grace M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
lake  bloom  resilience indicator  early warning  eutrophication