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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Natural hazard threats to pollinators and pollination 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Nicholson, Charlie C.;  Egan, Paul A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
disturbance  ecosystem service  extreme event  extreme weather  natural hazard  pollination  resilience  vulnerability  
Resilience Thresholds to Temperature Anomalies: A Long-run Test for Rural Tanzania 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 164
作者:  d&;  39;Errico, Marco
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Resilience thresholds  Food security  Household growth  Temperature shocks  Climate change  
Overcoming the process-structure divide in conceptions of Social-Ecological Transformation Assessing the transformative character and impact of change processes 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 164
作者:  Sievers-Glotzbach, Stefanie;  Tschersich, Julia
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Evaluation principles  Framework  Paradigms  Social-ecological resilience  Social-ecological transformation  Sustainability transitions  
The inherent multidimensionality of temporal variability: how common and rare species shape stability patterns 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (10) : 1557-1567
作者:  Arnoldi, Jean-Francois;  Loreau, Michel;  Haegeman, Bart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Asymptotic resilience  common species  demographic stochasticity  diversity  environmental stochasticity  immigration stochasticity  rare species  stability relationship  
Framework for quantifying population responses to disturbance reveals that coastal birds are highly resilient to hurricanes 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Field, Christopher R.;  Ruskin, Katharine J.;  Cohen, Jonathan B.;  Hodgman, Thomas P.;  Kovach, Adrienne, I;  Olsen, Brian J.;  Shriver, W. Gregory;  Elphick, Chris S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Bayesian population viability analysis  coastal birds  disturbance  hurricanes  resilience  stochastic population modelling  
Prolonged tropical forest degradation due to compounding disturbances: Implications for CO2 and H2O fluxes 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2855-2868
作者:  Brando, Paulo M.;  Silverio, Divino;  Maracahipes-Santos, Leonardo;  Oliveira-Santos, Claudinei;  Levick, Shaun R.;  Coe, Michael T.;  Migliavacca, Mirco;  Balch, Jennifer K.;  Macedo, Marcia N.;  Nepstad, Daniel C.;  Maracahipes, Leandro;  Davidson, Eric;  Asner, Gregory;  Kolle, Olaf;  Trumbore, Susan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
disturbance  recovery  resilience  tropical  wildfires  
Understanding the Resilience of Soil Moisture Regimes 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (9) : 7541-7563
作者:  Feng, Maoyuan;  Liu, Pan;  Cai, Ximing;  Wallington, Kevin;  Shi, Liangsheng;  Li, Yu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
soil moisture regime  resilience  stationary pdf  recovery rates  regime shift  agricultural planning  
Transient population dynamics impede restoration and may promote ecosystem transformation after disturbance 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (9) : 1357-1366
作者:  Shriver, Robert K.;  Andrews, Caitlin M.;  Arkle, Robert S.;  Barnard, David M.;  Duniway, Michael C.;  Germino, Matthew J.;  Pilliod, David S.;  Pyke, David A.;  Welty, Justin L.;  Bradford, John B.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
big sagebrush  demography  drylands  ecosystem transformation  regime shifts  resilience  restoration  transient population dynamics  
Greater growth stability of trees in marginal habitats suggests a patchy pattern of population loss and retention in response to increased drought at the rear edge 期刊论文
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2019, 22 (9) : 1439-1448
作者:  Vila-Cabrera, Albert;  Jump, Alistair S.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Biogeography  climate change  growth decline  periphery  range retraction  relict  resilience