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Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Greater flood risks in response to slowdown of tropical cyclones over the coast of China 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (26) : 14751-14755
作者:  Lai, Yangchen;  Li, Jianfeng;  Gu, Xihui;  Chen, Yongqin David;  Kong, Dongdong;  Gan, Thian Yew;  Liu, Maofeng;  Li, Qingquan;  Wu, Guofeng
收藏  |  浏览/下载:17/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/22
tropical cyclones  translation speed  local rainfall totals  flood risks  
Global impact of atmospheric arsenic on health risk: 2005 to 2015 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (25) : 13975-13982
作者:  Zhang, Lei;  Gao, Yang;  Wu, Shiliang;  Zhang, Shaoqing;  Smith, Kirk R.;  Yao, Xiaohong;  Gao, Huiwang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
atmospheric arsenic  GEOS-Chem  cancer risk  noncarcinogenic effect  
Estimating US fossil fuel CO2 emissions from measurements of C-14 in atmospheric CO2 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (24) : 13300-13307
作者:  Basu, Sourish;  Lehman, Scott J.;  Miller, John B.;  Andrews, Arlyn E.;  Sweeney, Colm;  Gurney, Kevin R.;  Xu, Xiaomei;  Southon, John;  Tans, Pieter P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
fossil fuel CO2  radiocarbon  atmospheric inverse modeling  
Detected climatic change in global distribution of tropical cyclones 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (20) : 10706-10714
作者:  Murakami, Hiroyuki;  Delworth, Thomas L.;  Cooke, William F.;  Zhao, Ming;  Xiang, Baoqiang;  Hsu, Pang-Chi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
tropical cyclones  detection and attribution  large-ensemble simulations  climate change  spatial pattern  
Months-long thousand-kilometre-scale wobbling before great subduction earthquakes 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7805) : 628-+
作者:  Son, Hyungmok;  Park, Juliana J.;  Ketterle, Wolfgang;  Jamison, Alan O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Observed reversals in GNSS surface motions suggests greatly enhanced slab pull in the months preceding the great subduction earthquakes in Maule (Chile, 2010) and Tohoku-oki (Japan, 2011) of moment magnitudes 8.8 and 9.0.


Megathrust earthquakes are responsible for some of the most devastating natural disasters(1). To better understand the physical mechanisms of earthquake generation, subduction zones worldwide are continuously monitored with geophysical instrumentation. One key strategy is to install stations that record signals from Global Navigation Satellite Systems(2,3) (GNSS), enabling us to track the non-steady surface motion of the subducting and overriding plates before, during and after the largest events(4-6). Here we use a recently developed trajectory modelling approach(7) that is designed to isolate secular tectonic motions from the daily GNSS time series to show that the 2010 Maule, Chile (moment magnitude 8.8) and 2011 Tohoku-oki, Japan (moment magnitude 9.0) earthquakes were preceded by reversals of 4-8 millimetres in surface displacement that lasted several months and spanned thousands of kilometres. Modelling of the surface displacement reversal that occurred before the Tohoku-oki earthquake suggests an initial slow slip followed by a sudden pulldown of the Philippine Sea slab so rapid that it caused a viscoelastic rebound across the whole of Japan. Therefore, to understand better when large earthquakes are imminent, we must consider not only the evolution of plate interface frictional processes but also the dynamic boundary conditions from deeper subduction processes, such as sudden densification of metastable slab.


  
Global-scale brittle plastic rheology at the cometesimals merging of comet 67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (19) : 10181-10187
作者:  Franceschi, Marco;  Penasa, Luca;  Massironi, Matteo;  Naletto, Giampiero;  Ferrari, Sabrina;  Fondriest, Michele;  Bodewits, Dennis;  Guttler, Carsten;  Lucchetti, Alice;  Mottola, Stefano;  Pajola, Maurizio;  Toth, Imre;  Deller, Jacob;  Sierks, Holger;  Tubiana, Cecilia
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
comet  impact  deformation  rheology  67P/Churyumov-Gerasimenko  
Dry and moist dynamics shape regional patterns of extreme precipitation sensitivity 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (16) : 8757-8763
作者:  Nie, Ji;  Dai, Panxi;  Sobel, Adam H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
precipitation extreme  convection  climate change  
Childhood vaccines and antibiotic use in low- and middle-income countries 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 581 (7806) : 94-+
作者:  Louca, Stilianos;  Pennell, Matthew W.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/03

Vaccines may reduce the burden of antimicrobial resistance, in part by preventing infections for which treatment often includes the use of antibiotics(1-4). However, the effects of vaccination on antibiotic consumption remain poorly understood-especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the burden of antimicrobial resistance is greatest(5). Here we show that vaccines that have recently been implemented in the World Health Organization'  s Expanded Programme on Immunization reduce antibiotic consumption substantially among children under five years of age in LMICs. By analysing data from large-scale studies of households, we estimate that pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and live attenuated rotavirus vaccines confer 19.7% (95% confidence interval, 3.4-43.4%) and 11.4% (4.0-18.6%) protection against antibiotic-treated episodes of acute respiratory infection and diarrhoea, respectively, in age groups that experience the greatest disease burden attributable to the vaccine-targeted pathogens(6,7). Under current coverage levels, pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines prevent 23.8 million and 13.6 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness, respectively, among children under five years of age in LMICs each year. Direct protection resulting from the achievement of universal coverage targets for these vaccines could prevent an additional 40.0 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness. This evidence supports the prioritization of vaccines within the global strategy to combat antimicrobial resistance(8).


Pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines have reduced antibiotic consumption substantially among children under five years old in low- and middle-income countries  however, this effect could be doubled if all countries were to implement vaccination programmes and meet universal vaccine coverage targets.


  
The fate of carbon in a mature forest under carbon dioxide enrichment 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 580 (7802) : 227-+
作者:  Sun, P. Z.;  Yang, Q.;  Kuang, W. J.;  Stebunov, Y. V.;  Xiong, W. Q.;  Yu, J.;  Nair, R. R.;  Katsnelson, M. I.;  Yuan, S. J.;  Grigorieva, I. V.;  Lozada-Hidalgo, M.;  Wang, F. C.;  Geim, A. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:70/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

Carbon dioxide enrichment of a mature forest resulted in the emission of the excess carbon back into the atmosphere via enhanced ecosystem respiration, suggesting that mature forests may be limited in their capacity to mitigate climate change.


Atmospheric carbon dioxide enrichment (eCO(2)) can enhance plant carbon uptake and growth(1-5), thereby providing an important negative feedback to climate change by slowing the rate of increase of the atmospheric CO2 concentration(6). Although evidence gathered from young aggrading forests has generally indicated a strong CO2 fertilization effect on biomass growth(3-5), it is unclear whether mature forests respond to eCO(2) in a similar way. In mature trees and forest stands(7-10), photosynthetic uptake has been found to increase under eCO(2) without any apparent accompanying growth response, leaving the fate of additional carbon fixed under eCO(2) unclear(4,5,7-11). Here using data from the first ecosystem-scale Free-Air CO2 Enrichment (FACE) experiment in a mature forest, we constructed a comprehensive ecosystem carbon budget to track the fate of carbon as the forest responded to four years of eCO(2) exposure. We show that, although the eCO(2) treatment of +150 parts per million (+38 per cent) above ambient levels induced a 12 per cent (+247 grams of carbon per square metre per year) increase in carbon uptake through gross primary production, this additional carbon uptake did not lead to increased carbon sequestration at the ecosystem level. Instead, the majority of the extra carbon was emitted back into the atmosphere via several respiratory fluxes, with increased soil respiration alone accounting for half of the total uptake surplus. Our results call into question the predominant thinking that the capacity of forests to act as carbon sinks will be generally enhanced under eCO(2), and challenge the efficacy of climate mitigation strategies that rely on ubiquitous CO2 fertilization as a driver of increased carbon sinks in global forests.