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Hill districts of Uttarakhand facing greater warming; will accelerate forced migration of local communities 新闻
来源平台:Energy and Resources Institute. 发布日期:2021
作者:  admin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:24/0  |  提交时间:2021/04/06
Increasing contribution of peatlands to boreal evapotranspiration in a warming climate 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020, 10 (6) : 555-+
作者:  Helbig, Manuel;  Waddington, James Michael;  Alekseychik, Pavel;  Amiro, Brian D.;  Aurela, Mika;  Barr, Alan G.;  Black, T. Andrew;  Blanken, Peter D.;  Carey, Sean K.;  Chen, Jiquan;  Chi, Jinshu;  Desai, Ankur R.;  Dunn, Allison;  Euskirchen, Eugenie S.;  Flanagan, Lawrence B.;  Forbrich, Inke;  Friborg, Thomas;  Grelle, Achim;  Harder, Silvie;  Heliasz, Michal;  Humphreys, Elyn R.;  Ikawa, Hiroki;  Isabelle, Pierre-Erik;  Iwata, Hiroki;  Jassal, Rachhpal;  Korkiakoski, Mika;  Kurbatova, Juliya;  Kutzbach, Lars;  Lindroth, Anders;  Lofvenius, Mikaell Ottosson;  Lohila, Annalea;  Mammarella, Ivan;  Marsh, Philip;  Maximov, Trofim;  Melton, Joe R.;  Moore, Paul A.;  Nadeau, Daniel F.;  Nicholls, Erin M.;  Nilsson, Mats B.;  Ohta, Takeshi;  Peichl, Matthias;  Petrone, Richard M.;  Petrov, Roman;  Prokushkin, Anatoly;  Quinton, William L.;  Reed, David E.;  Roulet, Nigel T.;  Runkle, Benjamin R. K.;  Sonnentag, Oliver;  Strachan, Ian B.;  Taillardat, Pierre;  Tuittila, Eeva-Stiina;  Tuovinen, Juha-Pekka;  Turner, Jessica;  Ueyama, Masahito;  Varlagin, Andrej;  Wilmking, Martin;  Wofsy, Steven C.;  Zyrianov, Vyacheslav
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Fast response of cold ice-rich permafrost in northeast Siberia to a warming climate 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Nitzbon, Jan;  Westermann, Sebastian;  Langer, Moritz;  Martin, Leo C. P.;  Strauss, Jens;  Laboor, Sebastian;  BOike, Julia
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
The past and future of global river ice 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7788) : 69-+
作者:  Yang, Xiao;  Pavelsky, Tamlin M.;  Allen, George H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13

More than one-third of Earth'  s landmass is drained by rivers that seasonally freeze over. Ice transforms the hydrologic(1,2), ecologic(3,4), climatic(5) and socio-economic(6-8) functions of river corridors. Although river ice extent has been shown to be declining in many regions of the world(1), the seasonality, historical change and predicted future changes in river ice extent and duration have not yet been quantified globally. Previous studies of river ice, which suggested that declines in extent and duration could be attributed to warming temperatures(9,10), were based on data from sparse locations. Furthermore, existing projections of future ice extent are based solely on the location of the 0-degrees C isotherm11. Here, using satellite observations, we show that the global extent of river ice is declining, and we project a mean decrease in seasonal ice duration of 6.10 +/- 0.08 days per 1-degrees C increase in global mean surface air temperature. We tracked the extent of river ice using over 400,000 clear-sky Landsat images spanning 1984-2018 and observed a mean decline of 2.5 percentage points globally in the past three decades. To project future changes in river ice extent, we developed an observationally calibrated and validated model, based on temperature and season, which reduced the mean bias by 87 per cent compared with the 0-degree-Celsius isotherm approach. We applied this model to future climate projections for 2080-2100: compared with 2009-2029, the average river ice duration declines by 16.7 days under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5, whereas under RCP 4.5 it declines on average by 7.3 days. Our results show that, globally, river ice is measurably declining and will continue to decline linearly with projected increases in surface air temperature towards the end of this century.


  
Sensitivity of the global carbonate weathering carbon-sink flux to climate and land-use changes 期刊论文
Nature Communications, 2019, 10
作者:  [unavailable]
收藏  |  浏览/下载:22/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16
An Economic Comparison of Adaptation Strategies Towards a Drought-induced Risk of Forest Decline 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 164
作者:  Breteau-Amores, Sandrine;  Brunette, Marielle;  Davi, Hendrik
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Forest  Drought  Adaptation  Climate change  Economics  Risk  Carbon  CASTANEA  
Projected Changes in Permafrost Active Layer Thickness Over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau Under Climate Change 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (9) : 7860-7875
作者:  Zhao, Dongsheng;  Wu, Shaohong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
active layer thickness  permafrost  climate change  Qinghai-Tibet Plateau  
Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Modeling Future Projections of Temperature-Related Excess Morbidity due to Infectious Gastroenteritis under Climate Change Conditions in Japan 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (7)
作者:  Onozuka, Daisuke;  Gasparrini, Antonio;  Sera, Francesco;  Hashizume, Masahiro;  Honda, Yasushi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Lyme Disease Risks in Europe under Multiple Uncertain Drivers of Change 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2019, 127 (6)
作者:  Li, Sen;  Gilbert, Lucy;  Vanwambeke, Sophie O.;  Yu, Jianjun;  Purse, Beduin, V;  Harrison, Paula A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26