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Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Multimodel ensemble projection of meteorological drought scenarios and connection with climate based on spectral analysis 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Aryal, Yog;  Zhu, Jianting
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
drought  standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index  multimodel ensemble  uncertainties  Fourier spectra  wavelet transform  
Assessing spatiotemporal variation of heat waves during 1961-2016 across mainland China 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Guo, Enliang;  Wang, Yongfang;  Bao, Yulong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
change point  climate indices  excess heat factors  Koppen climate classifications  mainland China  
Recent intensification of short-term concurrent hot and dry extremes over the Pearl River basin, China 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019, 39 (13) : 4924-4937
作者:  Zhang, Haoyue;  Wu, Chuanhao;  Hu, Bill X.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
climate indices  evapotranspiration  heat waves  Pearl River basin  SCHDE  soil moisture  
Characterizing rainfall in the south-western Cape, South Africa: 1841-2016 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Ndebele, Nothabo E.;  Grab, Stefan;  Turasie, Alemtsehai
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Cape Town  Mann Kendall test  continuous wavelet analysis  periodicity  rainfall trends  sunspots  
Spatiotemporal Profiling of Tropical Cyclones Genesis and Favorable Environmental Conditions in the Western Pacific Basin 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019
作者:  Lu, Mengqian;  Xiong, Rui
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Tropical Cyclones  Western PacificWithin-Basin Spatiotemporal Variations  Wavelet &Coherence Analysis  ENSO  
Characterization of inertia gravity waves and associated dynamics in the lower stratosphere over the Indian Antarctic station, Bharati (69.4 degrees S, 76.2 degrees E) during austral summers 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 2887-2903
作者:  Koushik, N.;  Kumar, Karanam Kishore;  Subrahmanyam, K., V;  Ramkumar, Geetha;  Girach, I. A.;  Santosh, M.;  Nalini, K.;  Nazeer, M.;  Shreedevi, P. R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Middle atmosphere dynamics  Inertia gravity waves  Lower stratosphere  Wavelet analysis  
Potential impacts of Arctic warming on Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude aerosol optical depth 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 1637-1651
作者:  Chen, Yuyang;  Zhao, Chuanfeng;  Ming, Yi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Spatio-temporal variability  Aerosol optical depth  Near surface air temperature  Arctic  Mid-latitude  Teleconnection  
Impacts of Expanding Impervious Surface on Specific Conductance in Urbanizing Streams 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2019, 55 (8) : 6482-6498
作者:  Baker, M. E.;  Schley, M. L.;  Sexton, J. O.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Timescales of the Climate Record in the South Polar Ice Cap of Mars 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (13) : 7268-7277
作者:  Becerra, Patricio;  Sori, Michael M.;  Thomas, Nicolas;  Pommerol, Antoine;  Simioni, Emanuele;  Sutton, Sarah S.;  Tulyakov, Stepan;  Cremonese, Gabriele
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27