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Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
On the interpretation of seasonal Southern Africa precipitation prediction skill estimates during Austral summer 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6769-6783
作者:  Hoell, Andrew;  Eischeid, Jon
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Predictive Skill and Predictable Patterns of the US Seasonal Precipitation in CFSv2 Reforecasts of 60 Years (1958-2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8603-8637
作者:  Huang, Bohua;  Shin, Chul-Su;  Kumar, Arun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Precipitation  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  Multidecadal variability  
Coupling forecast calibration and data-driven downscaling for generating reliable, high-resolution, multivariate seasonal climate forecast ensembles at multiple sites 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Schepen, Andrew;  Everingham, Yvette;  Wang, Quan J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
bias-correction  forecast verification  multivariate  post-processing  seasonal forecasting  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification  
Predictability of Idealized Thunderstorms in Buoyancy-Shear Space 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (9) : 2653-2672
作者:  Lawson, John R.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Storm environments  Supercells  Thunderstorms  Mesoscale forecasting  Short-range prediction  Numerical weather prediction  forecasting  
PREEVENTS Track 2: Collaborative Research: Multi-scale processes impacting the predictability of severe convective weather events 项目
项目编号:1854966; 经费:620074(USD); 起止日期:2019 / dc_date_end
项目负责人:  Glen Romine (Principal Investigator)
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
PREEVENTS Track 2: Collaborative Research: Multi-scale processes impacting the predictability of severe convective weather events 项目
项目编号:1854886; 经费:260000(USD); 起止日期:2019 / dc_date_end
项目负责人:  Lance Bosart (Principal Investigator)
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Sub-daily temporal reconstruction of extreme precipitation events using NWP model simulations 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2019, 224: 65-80
作者:  Bliznak, Vojtech;  Kaspar, Marek;  Mueller, Miloslav;  Zacharov, Petr
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Extreme precipitation  Temporal reconstruction  NWP model  Verification  Czech Republic