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Complexity-based approach for El Nino magnitude forecasting before the spring predictability barrier 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (1) : 177-183
作者:  Meng, Jun;  Fan, Jingfang;  Ludescher, Josef;  Agarwal, Ankit;  Chen, Xiaosong;  Bunde, Armin;  Kurths, Juergen;  Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
ENSO  system complexity  entropy  spring barrier  forecasting  
Can Intensification of Cattle Ranching Reduce Deforestation in the Amazon? Insights From an Agent-based Social-Ecological Model 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2019, 159: 198-211
作者:  Mueller-Hansen, Finn;  Heitzig, Jobst;  Donges, Jonathan F.;  Cardoso, Manoel F.;  Dalla-Nora, Eloi L.;  Andrade, Pedro;  Kurths, Juergen;  Thonicke, Kirsten
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Amazon deforestation  Land-use intensification  Pasture management  Social-ecological systems  Agent-based modeling  
Climate change perception: an analysis of climate change and risk perceptions among farmer types of Indian Western Himalayas 期刊论文
CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2019, 152 (1) : 103-119
作者:  Shukla, Roopam;  Agarwal, Ankit;  Sachdeva, Kamna;  Kurths, Juergen;  Joshi, P. K.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Nonlinear interactions between the Amazon River basin and the Tropical North Atlantic at interannual timescales 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 2951-2969
作者:  Builes-Jaramillo, Alejandro;  Marwan, Norbert;  Poveda, German;  Kurths, Juergen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Nonlinear processes  Amazonia  Tropical North Atlantic  Hydroclimatology  SST  Interannual variability