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Effects of climate and land-use change scenarios on fire probability during the 21st century in the Brazilian Amazon 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2019, 25 (9) : 2931-2946
作者:  Fonseca, Marisa Gesteira;  Alves, Lincoln Muniz;  Dutra Aguiar, Ana Paula;  Arai, Egidio;  Anderson, Liana Oighenstein;  Rosan, Thais Michele;  Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir;  Oliveira e Cruz de Aragao, Luiz Eduardo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
fire modeling  forest degradation  hot pixels  maximum entropy  representative concentration pathway  tropical forest  
Different environmental drivers of alien tree invasion affect different life-stages and operate at different spatial scales 期刊论文
FOREST ECOLOGY AND MANAGEMENT, 2019, 433: 263-275
作者:  Vicente, Joana R.;  Kueffer, Christoph;  Richardson, David M.;  Vaz, Ana Sofia;  Cabral, Joao A.;  Hui, Cang;  Araujo, Miguel B.;  Kuehn, Ingolf;  Kull, Christian A.;  Verburg, Peter H.;  Marchante, Elizabete;  Honrado, Joao P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Acacia dealbata  Biological invasions  Environmental factors  Multimodel inference  Scale-dependence  
Low clouds link equilibrium climate sensitivity to hydrological sensitivity 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2018, 8 (10) : 901-+
作者:  Watanabe, Masahiro;  Kamae, Youichi;  Shiogama, Hideo;  DeAngelis, Anthony M.;  Suzuki, Kentaroh
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 13 (5)
作者:  Byers, Edward;  Gidden, Matthew;  Leclere, David;  Balkovic, Juraj;  Burek, Peter;  Ebi, Kristie;  Greve, Peter;  Grey, David;  Havlik, Petr;  Hillers, Astrid;  Johnson, Nils;  Kahil, Taher;  Krey, Volker;  Langan, Simon;  Nakicenovic, Nebjosa;  Novak, Robert;  Obersteiner, Michael;  Pachauri, Shonali;  Palazzo, Amanda;  Parkinson, Simon;  Rao, Narasimha;  Rogelj, Joeri;  Satoh, Yusuke;  Wada, Yoshihide;  Willaarts, Barbara;  Riahi, Keywan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
vulnerability  hotspots  climate change impacts  shared socioeconomic pathways  sustainable development goals  1.5 degrees C  
Changes of heating and cooling degree-days in Europe from 1981 to 2100 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2018, 38: E191-E208
作者:  Spinoni, Jonathan;  Vogt, Jurgen V.;  Barbosa, Paulo;  Dosio, Alessandro;  McCormick, Niall;  Bigano, Andrea;  Fussel, Hans-Martin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate change  degree-days  energy demand  Europe  CORDEX  population weighting  
The epistemological status of general circulation models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2018, 50: 1719-1731
作者:  Loehle, Craig
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Climate change  General circulation models  Model testing  Epistemology  
New vigour involving statisticians to overcome ensemble fatigue 期刊论文
NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2017, 7 (10)
作者:  Benestad, Rasmus;  Sillmann, Jana;  Thorarinsdottir, Thordis Linda;  Guttorp, Peter;  Mesquita, Michel D. S.;  Tye, Mari R.;  Uotila, Petteri;  Maule, Cathrine Fox;  Thejll, Peter;  Drews, Martin;  Parding, Kajsa M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Assessing inter-sectoral climate change risks: the role of ISIMIP 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2017, 12 (1)
作者:  Rosenzweig, Cynthia;  Arnell, Nigel W.;  Ebi, Kristie L.;  Lotze-Campen, Hermann;  Raes, Frank;  Rapley, Chris;  Smith, Mark Stafford;  Cramer, Wolfgang;  Frieler, Katja;  Reyer, Christopher P. O.;  Schewe, Jacob;  van Vuuren, Detlef;  Warszawski, Lila
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09