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Statistical characterization of vertical meteorological profiles obtained with the WRF-ARW model on the central Andes of Peru and its relationship with the occurrence of precipitation on the region 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 239
作者:  Moya-Alvarez, Aldo S.;  Martinez-Castro, Daniel;  Kumar, Shailendra;  Flores Rojas, Jose L.;  Estevan, Rene;  Saavedra-Huanca, Miguel;  Silva, Yamina
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
Central Andes  WRF model  Thermodynamics indices  Mantaro basin  Rainfall  Verification  
Comparison and Verification of Point-Wise and Patch-Wise Localized Probability-Matched Mean Algorithms for Ensemble Consensus Precipitation Forecasts 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Snook, Nathan;  Kong, Fanyou;  Clark, Adam;  Roberts, Brett;  Brewster, Keith A.;  Xue, Ming
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/01
Verification of high resolution (12 km) Global Ensemble Prediction System 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 236
作者:  Mamgain, Ashu;  Sarkar, Abhijit;  Rajagopal, E. N.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Ensemble Prediction System  Ensemble member  Probabilistic forecasts  Ensemble-spread  Brier score  Reliability diagram  
Influence of PBL parameterization schemes in WRF_ARW model on short - range precipitation's forecasts in the complex orography of Peruvian Central Andes 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2020, 233
作者:  Moya-Alvarez, Aldo S.;  Estevan, Rene;  Kumar, Shailendra;  Flores Rojas, Jose L.;  Ticse, Joel J.;  Martinez-Castro, Daniel;  Silva, Yamina
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Central Andes  WRF model  PBL schemes  Mantaro basin  Verification  
Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (12) : 7497-7518
作者:  Tippett, Michael K.;  39;Heureux, Michelle
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
ENSO  Probabilistic verification  Ensemble forecasting  
On the interpretation of seasonal Southern Africa precipitation prediction skill estimates during Austral summer 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53 (11) : 6769-6783
作者:  Hoell, Andrew;  Eischeid, Jon
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Predictive Skill and Predictable Patterns of the US Seasonal Precipitation in CFSv2 Reforecasts of 60 Years (1958-2017) 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (24) : 8603-8637
作者:  Huang, Bohua;  Shin, Chul-Su;  Kumar, Arun
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Atmosphere-ocean interaction  ENSO  Precipitation  Seasonal forecasting  Climate models  Multidecadal variability  
Coupling forecast calibration and data-driven downscaling for generating reliable, high-resolution, multivariate seasonal climate forecast ensembles at multiple sites 期刊论文
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2019
作者:  Schepen, Andrew;  Everingham, Yvette;  Wang, Quan J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
bias-correction  forecast verification  multivariate  post-processing  seasonal forecasting  
Skilful seasonal prediction of winter wind speeds in China 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 3937-3955
作者:  Lockwood, Julia F.;  Thornton, Hazel E.;  Dunstone, Nick;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Bett, Philip E.;  Li, Chaofan;  Ren, Hong-Li
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal forecasting  Forecast verification/skill  Wind  Asia  
Skill of dynamical and GHACOF consensus seasonal forecasts of East African rainfall 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 53: 4911-4935
作者:  Walker, Dean P.;  Birch, Cathryn E.;  Marsham, John H.;  Scaife, Adam A.;  Graham, Richard J.;  Segele, Zewdu T.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Seasonal climate forecasts  Consensus outlooks  East Africa  Precipitation  Probabilistic verification