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A Mechanism for the Arctic Sea Ice Spring Predictability Barrier 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (13)
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Winton, Michael;  Bonan, David B.;  Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, Edward;  Delworth, Thomas L.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/16
regional Arctic sea ice  seasonal predictability  mass budget  large ensembles  
Prediction and predictability of tropical intraseasonal convection: seasonal dependence and the Maritime Continent prediction barrier 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 6015-6031
作者:  Wang, Shuguang;  Sobel, Adam H.;  Tippett, Michael K.;  Vitart, Frederic
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Mid-latitude source of the ENSO-spread in SINTEX-F ensemble predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2613-2630
作者:  Ogata, Tomomichi;  Doi, Takeshi;  Morioka, Yushi;  Behera, Swadhin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
ENSO  Seasonal prediction  Ensemble spread  
Regional Arctic sea-ice prediction: potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2019, 52: 2721-2743
作者:  Bushuk, Mitchell;  Msadek, Rym;  Winton, Michael;  Vecchi, Gabriel;  Yang, Xiaosong;  Rosati, Anthony;  Gudgel, Rich
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Sea ice  Seasonal predictability  Arctic  
The Gauging and Modeling of Rivers in the Sky 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2018, 45 (15) : 7828-7834
作者:  Lavers, David A.;  Rodwell, Mark J.;  Richardson, David S.;  Ralph, F. Martin;  Doyle, James D.;  Reynolds, Carolyn A.;  Tallapragada, Vijay;  Pappenberger, Florian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Seasonal Synchronization of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Nino Diversity 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2017, 30 (24)
作者:  Thual, Sulian;  Majda, Andrew;  Chen, Nan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Predictability of the Indian Ocean Dipole in the coupled models 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Liu, Huafeng;  Tang, Youmin;  Chen, Dake;  Lian, Tao
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
IOD  Predictability  Ensemble prediction  
Estimating observing locations for advancing beyond the winter predictability barrier of Indian Ocean dipole event predictions 期刊论文
CLIMATE DYNAMICS, 2017, 48
作者:  Feng, Rong;  Duan, Wansuo;  Mu, Mu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Indian Ocean dipole  Sensitive areas  Winter predictability barrier  Initial errors