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On the limit to the accuracy of regional-scale air quality models 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2020, 20 (3) : 1627-1639
作者:  Rao, S. Trivikrama;  Luo, Huiying;  Astitha, Marina;  Hogrefe, Christian;  Garcia, Valerie;  Mathur, Rohit
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
Explaining Scales and Statistics of Tropical Precipitation Clusters with a Stochastic Model 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (10) : 3063-3087
作者:  Ahmed, Fiaz;  Neelin, J. David
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
Atmosphere  Tropics  Deep convection  Mesoscale systems  Extreme events  Primitive equations model  
Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2019, 76 (5) : 1373-1395
作者:  Morales, Annareli;  Posselt, Derek J.;  Morrison, Hugh;  He, Fei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/26
Climate Dependence in Empirical Parameters of Subgrid-Scale Parameterizations using the Fluctuation-Dissipation Theorem 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 75 (11) : 3843-3860
作者:  Pieroth, Martin;  Dolaptchiev, Stamen I.;  Zacharuk, Matthias;  Heppelmann, Tobias;  Gritsun, Andrey;  Achatz, Ulrich
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Empirical orthogonal functions  Parameterization  Stochastic models  Subgrid-scale processes  
How Uncertainty in Field Measurements of Ice Nucleating Particles Influences Modeled Cloud Forcing 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2018, 75 (1) : 179-187
作者:  Garimella, S.;  Rothenberg, D. A.;  Wolf, M. J.;  Wang, C.;  Cziczo, D. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:0/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
A new downscaling method for sub-grid turbulence modeling 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017, 17 (11)
作者:  Rottner, Lucie;  Baehr, Christophe;  Couvreux, Fleur;  Canut, Guylaine;  Rieutord, Thomas
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Effects of cloud condensate vertical alignment on radiative transfer calculations in deep convective regions 期刊论文
ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH, 2017, 186
作者:  Wang, Xiaocong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Horizontal inhomogeneity  Topic  Vertical alignment  Decorrelation length  Cloud radiative forcing  Stochastic ICA approach  
Quantifying the Eddy-Jet Feedback Strength of the Annular Mode in an Idealized GCM and Reanalysis Data 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2017, 74 (2)
作者:  Ma, Ding;  Hassanzadeh, Pedram;  Kuang, Zhiming
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
What Makes an Annular Mode "Annular''? 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES, 2017, 74 (2)
作者:  Gerber, Edwin P.;  Thompson, David W. J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09