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Contribution of Changes in Synoptic-Scale Circulation Patterns to the Past Summer Precipitation Regime Shift in Eastern China 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (12)
作者:  Zhou, Baiquan;  Zhai, Panmao;  Chen, Yang
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/25
circulation pattern  dynamic and thermodynamic contributions  southern flood-northern drought  self-organizing map  
Scale-Dependent Evanescence of River Dunes During Discharge Extremes 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 47 (6)
作者:  Nagshband, S.;  Hoitink, A. J. F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
Regime shifts occur disproportionately faster in larger ecosystems 期刊论文
NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, 2020, 11 (1)
作者:  Cooper, Gregory S.;  Willcock, Simon;  Dearing, John A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/05/13
Consideration of anthropogenic factors in boreal forest fire regime changes during rapid socio-economic development: case study of forestry districts with increasing burnt area in the Sakha Republic, Russia 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  Kirillina, Kiunnei;  Shvetsov, Evgeny G.;  Protopopova, Viktoriya V.;  Thiesmeyer, Lynn;  Yan, Wanglin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
boreal forest  burnt area  fire regime  fire seasonality  climate warming  
Repetitive floods intensify outmigration and climate gentrification in coastal cities 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (3)
作者:  de Koning, Koen;  Filatova, Tatiana
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
agent-based model  flood risk  climate gentrification  housing market  climate change  regime shift  
Regime shift of the hydroclimate-vegetation system in the Yellow River Delta of China from 1982 through 2015 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (2)
作者:  Niu, Beibei;  Zhang, Zixuan;  Yu, Xinyang;  Li, Xinju;  Wang, Zhen;  Loaiciga, Hugo A.;  Peng, Sha
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
regime shift  hydroclimate-vegetation system  time series decomposition  structural change  Yellow River Delta  
Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 577 (7789) : 226-+
作者:  Blasius, Bernd;  Rudolf, Lars;  Weithoff, Guntram;  Gaedke, Ursula;  Fussmann, Gregor F.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/04/16

Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events.


  
The Possible Transition From Glacial Surge to Ice Stream on Vavilov Ice Cap 期刊论文
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2019, 46 (23) : 13892-13902
作者:  Zheng, Whyjay;  Pritchard, Matthew E.;  Willis, Michael J.;  Stearns, Leigh A.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
glacial surge  ice stream  Vavilov Ice Cap  shear margins  Peclet number  summer speedup  
Recent Strengthening of the Relationship between the Western North Pacific Monsoon and Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclone Activity during the Boreal Summer 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8283-8299
作者:  Zhao, Haikun;  Chen, Shaohua;  Klotzbach, Philip J.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Cyclogenesis  cyclolysis  Teleconnections  Climate change  Climate variability  ENSO  Hurricanes  typhoons  
Recent Increased Covariability of Tropical Cyclogenesis Latitude and Longitude over the Western North Pacific during the Extended Boreal Summer 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE, 2019, 32 (23) : 8167-8179
作者:  Zhao, Haikun;  Zhang, Jie;  Klotzbach, Philip J.;  Chen, Shaohua
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2020/02/17
Teleconnections  Tropical cyclones  Climate change  Climate classification  regimes