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Ice retreat in Wilkes Basin of East Antarctica during a warm interglacial 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7817) : 554-+
作者:  T. Blackburn;  G. H. Edwards;  S. Tulaczyk;  M. Scudder;  G. Piccione;  B. Hallet;  N. McLean;  J. C. Zachos;  B. Cheney;  J. T. Babbe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:21/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/09

Uranium isotopes in subglacial precipitates from the Wilkes Basin of the East Antarctic Ice Sheet reveal ice retreat during a warm Pleistocene interglacial period about 400,000 years ago.


Efforts to improve sea level forecasting on a warming planet have focused on determining the temperature, sea level and extent of polar ice sheets during Earth'  s past interglacial warm periods(1-3). About 400,000 years ago, during the interglacial period known as Marine Isotopic Stage 11 (MIS11), the global temperature was 1 to 2 degrees Celsius greater(2)and sea level was 6 to 13 metres higher(1,3). Sea level estimates in excess of about 10 metres, however, have been discounted because these require a contribution from the East Antarctic Ice Sheet(3), which has been argued to have remained stable for millions of years before and includes MIS11(4,5). Here we show how the evolution of(234)U enrichment within the subglacial waters of East Antarctica recorded the ice sheet'  s response to MIS11 warming. Within the Wilkes Basin, subglacial chemical precipitates of opal and calcite record accumulation of(234)U (the product of rock-water contact within an isolated subglacial reservoir) up to 20 times higher than that found in marine waters. The timescales of(234)U enrichment place the inception of this reservoir at MIS11. Informed by the(234)U cycling observed in the Laurentide Ice Sheet, where(234)U accumulated during periods of ice stability(6)and was flushed to global oceans in response to deglaciation(7), we interpret our East Antarctic dataset to represent ice loss within the Wilkes Basin at MIS11. The(234)U accumulation within the Wilkes Basin is also observed in the McMurdo Dry Valleys brines(8-10), indicating(11)that the brine originated beneath the adjacent East Antarctic Ice Sheet. The marine origin of brine salts(10)and bacteria(12)implies that MIS11 ice loss was coupled with marine flooding. Collectively, these data indicate that during one of the warmest Pleistocene interglacials, the ice sheet margin at the Wilkes Basin retreated to near the precipitate location, about 700 kilometres inland from the current position of the ice margin, which-assuming current ice volumes-would have contributed about 3 to 4 metres(13)to global sea levels.


  
Multimodel Future Projections of the Regional Vegetation-Climate System Over East Asia: Comparison Between Two Ensemble Approaches 期刊论文
JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES, 2020, 125 (13)
作者:  Liu, Weiguang;  Wang, Guiling;  Yu, Miao;  Chen, Haishan;  Jiang, Yelin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:16/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change  East Asia  multimodel ensemble  vegetation-climate interactions  
Potential for large-scale CO2 removal via enhanced rock weathering with croplands 期刊论文
NATURE, 2020, 583 (7815) : 242-+
作者:  David J. Beerling;  Euripides P. Kantzas;  Mark R. Lomas;  Peter Wade;  Rafael M. Eufrasio;  Phil Renforth;  Binoy Sarkar;  M. Grace Andrews;  Rachael H. James;  Christopher R. Pearce;  Jean-Francois Mercure;  Hector Pollitt;  Philip B. Holden;  Neil R. Edwards;  Madhu Khanna;  Lenny Koh;  Shaun Quegan;  Nick F. Pidgeon;  Ivan A. Janssens;  James Hansen;  Steven A. Banwart
收藏  |  浏览/下载:18/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/14

Enhanced silicate rock weathering (ERW), deployable with croplands, has potential use for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) removal (CDR), which is now necessary to mitigate anthropogenic climate change(1). ERW also has possible co-benefits for improved food and soil security, and reduced ocean acidification(2-4). Here we use an integrated performance modelling approach to make an initial techno-economic assessment for 2050, quantifying how CDR potential and costs vary among nations in relation to business-as-usual energy policies and policies consistent with limiting future warming to 2 degrees Celsius(5). China, India, the USA and Brazil have great potential to help achieve average global CDR goals of 0.5 to 2gigatonnes of carbon dioxide (CO2) per year with extraction costs of approximately US$80-180 per tonne of CO2. These goals and costs are robust, regardless of future energy policies. Deployment within existing croplands offers opportunities to align agriculture and climate policy. However, success will depend upon overcoming political and social inertia to develop regulatory and incentive frameworks. We discuss the challenges and opportunities of ERW deployment, including the potential for excess industrial silicate materials (basalt mine overburden, concrete, and iron and steel slag) to obviate the need for new mining, as well as uncertainties in soil weathering rates and land-ocean transfer of weathered products.


  
Implications of non-linearities between cumulative CO(2)emissions and CO2-induced warming for assessing the remaining carbon budget 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Nicholls, Z. R. J.;  Gieseke, R.;  Lewis, J.;  Nauels, A.;  Meinshausen, M.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change  global warming  remaining carbon budget  peak temperature  IPCC  
Quantifying the uncertainty introduced by internal climate variability in projections of Canadian crop production 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (7)
作者:  Qian, Budong;  Jing, Qi;  Smith, Ward;  Grant, Brian;  Cannon, Alex J.;  Zhang, Xuebin
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2020/08/18
climate change impacts  crop production  crop modelling  internal climate variability  uncertainty  
Observed changes in dry-season water availability attributed to human-induced climate change 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2020, 13 (7) : 477-+
作者:  Padron, Ryan S.;  Gudmundsson, Lukas;  Decharme, Bertrand;  Ducharne, Agnes;  Lawrence, David M.;  Mao, Jiafu;  Peano, Daniele;  Krinner, Gerhard;  Kim, Hyungjun;  Seneviratne, Sonia I.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:15/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/06
Artificial intelligence reconstructs missing climate information 期刊论文
NATURE GEOSCIENCE, 2020, 13 (6) : 408-+
作者:  Kadow, Christopher;  Hall, David Matthew;  Ulbrich, Uwe
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2020/06/09
To what extent can cirrus cloud seeding counteract global warming? 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Gasparini, Blaz;  McGraw, Zachary;  Storelvmo, Trude;  Lohmann, Ulrike
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
geoengineering  cirrus clouds  cirrus cloud seeding  cirrus cloud thinning  climate damage  precipitation extremes  climate modeling  
A pan-South-America assessment of avoided exposure to dangerous extreme precipitation by limiting to 1.5 degrees C warming 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (5)
作者:  Li, Sihan;  Otto, Friederike E. L.;  Harrington, Luke J.;  Sparrow, Sarah N.;  Wallom, David C. H.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:13/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
South America  avoided exposure  HAPPI  limiting to 1  5 degrees C warming  dangerous extreme precipitation  
Variations in start date, end date, frequency and intensity of yearly temperature extremes across China during the period 1961-2017 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 15 (4)
作者:  Han, Jingya;  Miao, Chiyuan;  Duan, Qingyun;  Wu, Jingwen;  Lei, Xiaohui;  Liao, Weihong
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2020/07/02
temperature extremes  global warming  CMIP6  China