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Global change and the distributional dynamics of migratory bird populations wintering in Central America 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  La Sorte, Frank A.;  Fink, Daniel;  Blancher, Peter J.;  Rodewald, Amanda D.;  Ruiz-Gutierrez, Viviana;  Rosenberg, Kenneth V.;  Hochachka, Wesley M.;  Verburg, Peter H.;  Kelling, Steve
收藏  |  浏览/下载:14/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Central America  climate change  eBird  land-use change  migratory birds  protected areas  
Exploring uncertainty of Amazon dieback in a perturbed parameter Earth system ensemble 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Boulton, Chris A.;  Booth, Ben B. B.;  Good, Peter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Amazon rainforest  climate uncertainty  committed response  HadCM3C  physics-perturbed ensemble  
Protected areas offer refuge from invasive species spreading under climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Gallardo, Belinda;  Aldridge, David C.;  Gonzalez-Moreno, Pablo;  Pergl, Jan;  Pizarro, Manuel;  Pysek, Petr;  Thuiller, Wilfried;  Yesson, Christopher;  Vila, Montserrat
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
climate suitability  human accessibility  national parks  Natura 2000  nature reserves  non-native species  protected species  species distribution models  
Coupled effects of wind-storms and drought on tree mortality across 115 forest stands from the Western Alps and the Jura mountains 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Csillery, Katalin;  Kunstler, Georges;  Courbaud, Benoit;  Allard, Denis;  Lassegues, Pierre;  Haslinger, Klaus;  Gardiner, Barry
收藏  |  浏览/下载:9/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
ecological interactions  forest damage  forest management  lagged effects  model selection  time series  
Long-term changes in abundances of Sonoran Desert lizards reveal complex responses to climatic variation 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Flesch, Aaron D.;  Rosen, Philip C.;  Holm, Peter
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Aridlands  climate change  ectotherms  N-mixture models  population trends  precipitation  Sonoran Desert  temperature  
Tree-ring analysis and modeling approaches yield contrary response of circumboreal forest productivity to climate change 期刊论文
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2017, 23 (12)
作者:  Tei, Shunsuke;  Sugimoto, Atsuko;  Yonenobu, Hitoshi;  Matsuura, Yojiro;  Osawa, Akira;  Sato, Hisashi;  Fujinuma, Junichi;  Maximov, Trofim
收藏  |  浏览/下载:12/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
boreal forest  climate change  climate sensitivity  DGVM  ITRDB  tree ring  
Using Microsimulation to Estimate the Future Health and Economic Costs of Salmonellosis under Climate Changes in Central Queensland, Australia 期刊论文
ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES, 2017, 125 (12)
作者:  Stephen, Dimity Maree;  Barnett, Adrian Gerard
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Sensitivity of Catchment Transit Times to Rainfall Variability Under Present and Future Climates 期刊论文
WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH, 2017, 53 (12)
作者:  Wilusz, Daniel C.;  Harman, Ciaran J.;  Ball, William P.
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
An Economic Analysis of the Threats Posed by the Establishment of Aedes albopictus in Brisbane, Queensland 期刊论文
ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS, 2017, 142
作者:  Darbro, Jonathan;  Halasa, Yara;  Montgomery, Brian;  Muller, Mike;  Shepard, Donald;  Devine, Greg;  Mwebaze, Paul
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2019/04/09
Mosquito  Aedes albopictus  Benefit-cost analysis  Benefit transfer  Willingness to pay  Vector control  
Impact of climate change on New York City's coastal flood hazard: Increasing flood heights from the preindustrial to 2300 CE 期刊论文
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2017, 114 (45) : 11861-11866
作者:  Garner, Andra J.;  Mann, Michael E.;  Emanuel, Kerry A.;  Kopp, Robert E.;  Lin, Ning;  Alley, Richard B.;  Horton, Benjamin P.;  DeConto, Robert M.;  Donnelly, Jeffrey P.;  Pollard, David
收藏  |  浏览/下载:11/0  |  提交时间:2019/11/27
tropical cyclones  flood height  New York City  sea-level rise  coastal flooding