Predicting the Response of Electricity Load to Climate Change

doi:10.2172/1215283

GSTDTAP > 地球科学

DOI	10.2172/1215283
报告编号	NREL/TP--6A20-64297
来源ID	OSTI ID: 1215283
	Predicting the Response of Electricity Load to Climate Change
	Sullivan, Patrick; Colman, Jesse; Kalendra, Eric
	2015-07-28
出版年	2015
页数	21
语种	英语
国家	美国
领域	地球科学
英文摘要	Our purpose is to develop a methodology to quantify the impact of climate change on electric loads in the United States. We perform simple linear regression, assisted by geospatial smoothing, on paired temperature and load time-series to estimate the heating- and coolinginduced sensitivity to temperature across 300 transmission zones and 16 seasonal and diurnal time periods. The estimated load sensitivities can be coupled with climate scenarios to quantify the potential impact of climate change on load, with a primary application being long-term electricity scenarios. The method allows regional and seasonal differences in climate and load response to be reflected in the electricity scenarios. While the immediate product of this analysis was designed to mesh with the spatial and temporal resolution of a specific electricity model to enable climate change scenarios and analysis with that model, we also propose that the process could be applied for other models and purposes.
英文关键词	Electricity Load Climate Change Temperature ReEDS
URL	查看原文
来源平台	US Department of Energy (DOE)
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/7003
专题	地球科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Sullivan, Patrick,Colman, Jesse,Kalendra, Eric. Predicting the Response of Electricity Load to Climate Change,2015.