Retaining U.S. Air Force Pilots When the Civilian Demand for Pilots Is Growing

doi:10.7249/RR1455

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR1455
报告编号	RR-1455-AF
	Retaining U.S. Air Force Pilots When the Civilian Demand for Pilots Is Growing
	Michael G. Mattock; James Hosek; Beth J. Asch; Rita Karam
	2016
出版年	2016
页数	148
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	An increase in pilot hiring at major commercial airlines could increase the outflow of U.S. Air Force rated officers and create manning shortfalls. In addition, because aviator pay (AP) and aviator retention pay (ARP) are now discretionary programs under Department of Defense Instruction 7730.67 and budget requests for them must be defended, the Air Force requires a capability to help anticipate the range of possible changes in civilian pilot pay and hiring and estimate the level of AP or ARP needed as a countermeasure. The authors provide data and analysis of airline pilot supply, compensation, and demand and conclude that major airlines are increasing both pilot pay and hiring, which could decrease Air Force pilot retention. They extended RAND's dynamic retention model to include the choice of ARP contract length and airline hiring. They estimated the model using longitudinal data on Air Force pilot retention for 1990 through 2000 entry cohorts followed to 2012 and incorporated new estimates of the civilian age-earnings profile of ex-military pilots employed by major airlines. With the estimated model, they simulated the effect on pilot retention of increases in civilian pay and airline hiring, as well as the elimination of AP for pilots assigned to non-flying positions. The authors found the levels of AP and ARP needed to offset those effects and sustain Air Force pilot retention. The findings vary by case, but a range of foreseeable increases in major airline hiring and pay would require increases in ARP to at least $38,500 and potentially as high as $62,500, well beyond the current cap of $25,000 per year.
英文关键词	Military Personnel Retention Military Compensation United States Air Force Military Aircraft
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来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4467
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Michael G. Mattock,James Hosek,Beth J. Asch,et al. Retaining U.S. Air Force Pilots When the Civilian Demand for Pilots Is Growing:RAND Corporation,2016.