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DOI10.7249/RR1452
报告编号RR-1452-RC
Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan
Alireza Nader; Larry Hanauer; Brenna Allen; Ali Scotten
2016
出版年2016
页数178
语种英语
国家美国
出版者RAND Corporation
领域资源环境
英文摘要This report examines the potential implications for the region if the Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq were at some point to declare its secession from Iraq. Specifically, the authors analyze the interests of three key regional neighbors — the Iraqi central government, Turkey, and Iran — and explore policies each actor may pursue in response to Kurdish independence. The authors discuss the possible responses of Baghdad, Ankara, and Tehran under three different scenarios: a unilateral declaration of Kurdish independence that is broadly opposed by the region, a "last man standing" scenario in which the Iraqi state collapses and the Kurdistan Regional Government becomes an independent state, and a gradual estrangement between Erbil and Baghdad. The authors also consider how each of these scenarios could be influenced by a resurgence of Kurdish nationalism in which Kurdish populations in Iran, Turkey, or Syria not only support the establishment of a sovereign Kurdistan in northern Iraq, but even seek to join the new nation.
英文关键词International Diplomacy Turkey RAND-initiated The Kurdistan Region - Iraq Baghdad Politics and Government Iran
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来源平台Rand Corporation
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文献类型科技报告
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4464
专题资源环境科学
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Alireza Nader,Larry Hanauer,Brenna Allen,et al. Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan:RAND Corporation,2016.
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