Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.7249/RR1452 |
报告编号 | RR-1452-RC |
Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan | |
Alireza Nader; Larry Hanauer; Brenna Allen; Ali Scotten | |
2016 | |
出版年 | 2016 |
页数 | 178 |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | 美国 |
出版者 | RAND Corporation |
领域 | 资源环境 |
英文摘要 | This report examines the potential implications for the region if the Kurdistan Region of northern Iraq were at some point to declare its secession from Iraq. Specifically, the authors analyze the interests of three key regional neighbors — the Iraqi central government, Turkey, and Iran — and explore policies each actor may pursue in response to Kurdish independence. The authors discuss the possible responses of Baghdad, Ankara, and Tehran under three different scenarios: a unilateral declaration of Kurdish independence that is broadly opposed by the region, a "last man standing" scenario in which the Iraqi state collapses and the Kurdistan Regional Government becomes an independent state, and a gradual estrangement between Erbil and Baghdad. The authors also consider how each of these scenarios could be influenced by a resurgence of Kurdish nationalism in which Kurdish populations in Iran, Turkey, or Syria not only support the establishment of a sovereign Kurdistan in northern Iraq, but even seek to join the new nation. |
英文关键词 | International Diplomacy Turkey RAND-initiated The Kurdistan Region - Iraq Baghdad Politics and Government Iran |
URL | 查看原文 |
来源平台 | Rand Corporation |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 科技报告 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4464 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alireza Nader,Larry Hanauer,Brenna Allen,et al. Regional Implications of an Independent Kurdistan:RAND Corporation,2016. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论