From Negative to Positive Stability: How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook

doi:10.7249/RR1069

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR1069
报告编号	RR-1069-MCIA
	From Negative to Positive Stability: How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook
	Ben Connable
	2015
出版年	2015
页数	72
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	As of late 2014, many American and Jordanian experts believe Jordan to be stable. Yet while Jordan is stable, it faces a range of existing and emerging challenges. These include chronic unemployment, sporadic political unrest, budget deficits, a water shortage, and geographically isolated yet troubling internal security concerns. The Syrian refugee crisis both exacerbates these challenges and offers opportunities to the government of Jordan. If the Syrian refugees remain relatively content and continue to assimilate into northern and central Jordan, they might directly benefit the Jordanian economy by stimulating growth. Donors and lenders have increased their support to Jordan, in turn offering the government an opportunity to improve the lives of both Syrian refugees and Jordanian citizens. Most important, Jordan benefits from what one expert terms negative stability: Jordanian citizens might be dissatisfied with many aspects of their government, but the chaos in neighboring states has thus far dissuaded Jordanians from pursuing civil or violent actions that might destabilize Jordan. Jordanians do not want their country to look like Syria, Iraq, or Egypt. Jordan is likely to undergo further and perhaps unforeseen challenges in 2015 and 2016, but it has the opportunity to alleviate many of its enduring challenges. If Jordan wisely invests forthcoming international refugee support, it has the opportunity to shift popular outlook from negative to positive — and more optimistic — stability. This report's analytic forecasts should help the United States determine how to support Jordan as it faces the Syrian refugee crisis.
英文关键词	Syria Security Cooperation Jordan International Humanitarian Assistance Water Resources Management Refugees
URL	查看原文
来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/4126
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Ben Connable. From Negative to Positive Stability: How the Syrian Refugee Crisis Can Improve Jordan's Outlook:RAND Corporation,2015.