Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll

doi:10.7249/RR858

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR858
报告编号	RR-858-RC
	Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll
	Arie Kapteyn; Erik Meijer; Bas Weerman
	2014
出版年	2014
页数	15
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	The RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll (CPEP) is conducted within the American Life Panel, which is an internet panel recruited through traditional probability sampling to ensure representativeness. The CPEP differs from other polls in that it asks the same respondents repeatedly about their voting preferences. Thus, it leads to more stable outcomes and changes are due to individuals' changing their minds and not due to random sampling fluctuations. The CPEP is also different because it asks respondents to state their preferences for a candidate and the likelihood that they will vote in probabilistic terms (percent chance), which has been shown to improve forecasts several months before the election. This documents gives a detailed account of the methodology underlying the CPEP.
英文关键词	Survey Research Methodology Politics and Government RAND-initiated
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来源平台	Rand Corporation
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文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/3904
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Arie Kapteyn,Erik Meijer,Bas Weerman. Methodology of the RAND Continuous 2012 Presidential Election Poll:RAND Corporation,2014.