GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.1016/j.atmosres.2017.02.009
Performance of multi-physics ensembles in convective precipitation events over northeastern Spain
Garcia-Ortega, E.1; Lorenzana, J.2; Merino, A.1; Fernandez-Gonzalez, S.3; Lopez, L.1; Sanchez, J. L.1
2017-07-01
发表期刊ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH
ISSN0169-8095
EISSN1873-2895
出版年2017
卷号190
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Spain
英文摘要

Convective precipitation with hail greatly affects southwestern Europe, causing major economic losses. The local character of this meteorological phenomenon is a serious obstacle to forecasting. Therefore, the development of reliable short-term forecasts constitutes an essential challenge to minimizing and managing risks. However, deterministic outcomes are affected by different uncertainty sources, such as physics parameterizations. This study examines the performance of different combinations of physics schemes of the Weather Research and Forecasting model to describe the spatial distribution of precipitation in convective environments with hail falls. Two 30-member multi-physics ensembles, with two and three domains of maximum resolution 9 and 3km each, were designed using various combinations of cumulus, micro physics and radiation schemes. The experiment was evaluated for 10 convective precipitation days with hail over 2005-2010 in northeastern Spain. Different indexes were used to evaluate the ability of each ensemble member to capture the precipitation patterns, which were compared with observations of a rain-gauge network. A standardized metric was constructed to identify optimal performers. Results show interesting differences between the two ensembles. In two domain simulations, the selection of cumulus parameterizations was crucial, with the Betts-Miller-janjic scheme the best. In contrast, the Kain-Fristch cumulus scheme gave the poorest results, suggesting that it should not be used in the study area. Nevertheless, in three domain simulations, the cumulus schemes used in coarser domains were not critical and the best results depended mainly on microphysics schemes. The best performance was shown by Morrison, New Thomson and Goddard microphysics. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.


英文关键词Convective precipitation Hailstorms Multi-physics Ensemble
领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000399631900006
WOS关键词CLOUD MICROPHYSICS ; EBRO VALLEY ; QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION ; PARAMETERIZATION SCHEMES ; EXPLICIT FORECASTS ; RADIATIVE-TRANSFER ; MODELING SYSTEM ; HAILSTORM DAYS ; SEVERE WEATHER ; PART I
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/38194
专题地球科学
作者单位1.Univ Leon, Environm Inst, Atmospher Phys Grp, Leon, Spain;
2.Univ Leon, Supercomp Ctr Castile & Leon, Leon, Spain;
3.Univ Complutense Madrid, Fac Phys, Dept Earth Phys Astron & Astrophys 2, Madrid, Spain
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GB/T 7714
Garcia-Ortega, E.,Lorenzana, J.,Merino, A.,et al. Performance of multi-physics ensembles in convective precipitation events over northeastern Spain[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2017,190.
APA Garcia-Ortega, E.,Lorenzana, J.,Merino, A.,Fernandez-Gonzalez, S.,Lopez, L.,&Sanchez, J. L..(2017).Performance of multi-physics ensembles in convective precipitation events over northeastern Spain.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,190.
MLA Garcia-Ortega, E.,et al."Performance of multi-physics ensembles in convective precipitation events over northeastern Spain".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 190(2017).
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