Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.atmosres.2018.02.009 |
Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4 | |
Ozturk, Tugba1,4; Turp, M. Tufan2,4; Turkes, Murat4; Kurnaz, M. Levent3,4 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH |
ISSN | 0169-8095 |
EISSN | 1873-2895 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 206页码:87-107 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Turkey |
英文摘要 | In this study, we investigate changes in seasonal temperature and precipitation climatology of CORDEX Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region for three periods of 2010-2040, 2040-2070 and 2070-2100 with respect to the control period of 1970-2000 by using regional climate model simulations. Projections of future climate conditions are modeled by forcing Regional Climate Model, RegCM4.4 of the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) with two different CMIP5 global climate models. HadGEM2-ES global climate model of the Met Office Hadley Centre and MPI-ESM-MR global climate model of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology were used to generate 50 km resolution data for the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) Region 13. We test the seasonal time-scale performance of RegCM4.4 in simulating the observed climatology over domain of the MENA by using the output of two different global climate models. The projection results show relatively high increase of average temperatures from 3 degrees C up to 9 degrees C over the domain for far future (2070-2100). A strong decrease in precipitation is projected in almost all parts of the domain according to the output of the regional model forced by scenario outputs of two global models. Therefore, warmer and drier than present climate conditions are projected to occur more intensely over the CORDEX-MENA domain. |
英文关键词 | Arid-lands Climate change Middle East Central and North Africa Regional climate modeling RegCM4.4 Projections |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000430765000007 |
WOS关键词 | NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION ; MINERAL AEROSOLS ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; MEDITERRANEAN REGION ; EXTREME EVENTS ; AFRICA ; SIMULATIONS ; MODEL ; TRENDS ; ENSEMBLE |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/38181 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Isik Univ, Fac Arts & Sci, Dept Phys, TR-34980 Istanbul, Turkey; 2.Bogazici Univ, Inst Environm Sci, Dept Environm Sci, TR-34342 Istanbul, Turkey; 3.Bogazici Univ, Fac Arts & Sci, Dept Phys, TR-34342 Istanbul, Turkey; 4.Bogazici Univ, Ctr Climate Change & Policy Studies, TR-34342 Istanbul, Turkey |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Ozturk, Tugba,Turp, M. Tufan,Turkes, Murat,et al. Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4[J]. ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,2018,206:87-107. |
APA | Ozturk, Tugba,Turp, M. Tufan,Turkes, Murat,&Kurnaz, M. Levent.(2018).Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4.ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH,206,87-107. |
MLA | Ozturk, Tugba,et al."Future projections of temperature and precipitation climatology for CORDEX-MENA domain using RegCM4.4".ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH 206(2018):87-107. |
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