Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.06.003 |
Is agricultural adaptation to global change in lower-income countries on track to meet the future food production challenge? | |
Thornton, Philip K.1; Kristjanson, Patricia2; Forch, Wiebke3; Barahona, Carlos4; Cramer, Laura5; Pradhan, Sonali4,6 | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
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ISSN | 0959-3780 |
EISSN | 1872-9495 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 52页码:37-48 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Kenya; Botswana; England; Colombia |
英文摘要 | Agriculture is critical to sustainable development, and agricultural production by smallholders in lower-income countries contributes substantially to the food security of both rural and urban populations. Smallholders face many challenges related to urbanisation, sustainable use of natural resources and climate change. While there will be different ways of achieving sustainable agricultural systems, all will involve adaptation on a massive scale to meet the future food production challenge at greatly reduced carbon cost. Here we evaluate recent progress in agricultural adaptation using surveys in five regions, 21 countries and 45 sites, covering 315 villages and approximately 6300 households. These surveys include information about the changes made to farming systems in the last decade. We synthesise this information by grouping households into types: food insecure, hanging in, stepping up and stepping out. We then profile each site in terms of its proportion of households of these four types. While farmers have made some changes in their farming practices over the last decade, most changes have been incremental and piecemeal. We find little evidence in the study sites in any region of farming changes at the scale needed to enhance food security of significant proportions of the population. Searching for commonalities in the enabling environment among sites with similar proportions of household types, we found collective action at the community level coupled with appropriate climate information provision and the active participation of local organisations to be associated with higher levels of food security. To foster the changes needed in agricultural and food systems, a much stronger focus will be required on the enabling environment if food security goals are to be attainable. Without more nuanced and effective targeting of technological as well as institutional interventions, agricultural adaptation to meet the food production challenge in the coming decades is unlikely to occur. |
英文关键词 | Baseline surveys Household Site Characterisation Agriculture Adaptation Enabling environment |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000449444900004 |
WOS关键词 | AFRICA ; HOUSEHOLDS ; INTENSIFICATION ; CROPLAND ; CARBON ; EAST |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37923 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.ILRI, CGIAR Res Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secur, POB 30709, Nairobi 00100, Kenya; 2.World Agroforestry Ctr, POB 30677, Nairobi 00100, Kenya; 3.Deutsch Gesell Int Zusammenarbeit GIZ GmbH, SADC Adaptat Climate Change Rural Areas Southern, Private Bag X12 Village, Gaborone, Botswana; 4.Stat Sustainable Dev, 6 Southern Court,South St, Reading RG1 4QS, Berks, England; 5.Int Ctr Trop Agr CIAT, CGIAR Res Program Climate Change Agr & Food Secur, Cali 6713, Colombia; 6.Univ Reading, Sch Agr Policy & Dev, Reading RG6 6AR, Berks, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Thornton, Philip K.,Kristjanson, Patricia,Forch, Wiebke,et al. Is agricultural adaptation to global change in lower-income countries on track to meet the future food production challenge?[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2018,52:37-48. |
APA | Thornton, Philip K.,Kristjanson, Patricia,Forch, Wiebke,Barahona, Carlos,Cramer, Laura,&Pradhan, Sonali.(2018).Is agricultural adaptation to global change in lower-income countries on track to meet the future food production challenge?.GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,52,37-48. |
MLA | Thornton, Philip K.,et al."Is agricultural adaptation to global change in lower-income countries on track to meet the future food production challenge?".GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS 52(2018):37-48. |
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