Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.001 |
Pursuing necessary reductions in embedded GHG emissions of developed nations: Will efficiency improvements and changes in consumption get us there? | |
Bjorn, Anders1,5; Kalbar, Pradip1,6,7; Nygaard, Simon Elsborg2; Kabins, Simon2; Jensen, Charlotte Louise3; Birkved, Morten1; Schmidt, Jannick4; Hauschild, Michael Zwicky1 | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS |
ISSN | 0959-3780 |
EISSN | 1872-9495 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 52页码:314-324 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Denmark; Canada; India |
英文摘要 | The COP21 summit in Paris led to a policy commitment of limiting the global temperature increase to 1.5-2.0 degrees C and this can be translated to a global annual greenhouse gas (GHG) emission budget that is shrinking rapidly throughout the 21st century. Here, we estimate the reductions in GHG emission intensities of technologies that will be required for the embedded GHG emissions of a developed nation to stay within its fair share of a global emission budget in the year 2050. The estimates are made for different conceivable developments in consumption patterns in the case of Denmark, based on a large survey of current consumption patterns. To evaluate whether the required emission intensity reductions are likely to be met, they are compared to historic time series of emission intensities and to projections for 2050, based on policies currently in place, for ten technologies that have a high contribution to current GHG emissions. We estimate that emission intensities must be reduced by factors of 2-12 and 5-14, depending on the development in consumption, for the 2.0 and 1.5 degrees C climate goals, respectively. Of the ten selected technologies, only electricity supply is projected to, partially, meet the most strict reduction target, applying to a scenario where all inhabitants in 2050 consume as the most consuming inhabitants today. The results indicate that both a change in "consumption as usual" and in "business as usual" is needed for developed nations to meet equitable climate targets. This has implications for national and international policies targeting GHG emission intensities and may require a new orientation of policies to consider the societal structures around consumption. |
英文关键词 | Climate goals Paris Agreement Embedded emissions Consumption pattems Frozen policy Emission intensity |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000449444900027 |
WOS关键词 | INPUT-OUTPUT ; ENERGY DEMAND ; CARBON ; SUSTAINABILITY ; PATHWAYS ; LIMITS ; MODEL ; CARS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Geography |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Geography |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37786 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Tech Univ Denmark, Dept Engn Management, Bldg 424, DK-2800 Lyngby, Denmark; 2.Aarhus Univ, Dept Psychol & Behav Sci, Bldg 1350, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark; 3.Aalborg Univ, Dept Planning, AC Meyers Vaenge 15, DK-2450 Copenhagen SV, Denmark; 4.Aalborg Univ, Dept Planning, Rendsburggade 14, DK-9000 Aalborg, Denmark; 5.Polytech Montreal, CIRAIG, 3333 Queen Mary Rd, Montreal, PQ H3V 1A2, Canada; 6.Indian Inst Technol, CUSE, Bombay 400076, Maharashtra, India; 7.Indian Inst Technol, Interdisciplinary Programme Climate Studies, Bombay 400076, Maharashtra, India |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bjorn, Anders,Kalbar, Pradip,Nygaard, Simon Elsborg,et al. Pursuing necessary reductions in embedded GHG emissions of developed nations: Will efficiency improvements and changes in consumption get us there?[J]. GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,2018,52:314-324. |
APA | Bjorn, Anders.,Kalbar, Pradip.,Nygaard, Simon Elsborg.,Kabins, Simon.,Jensen, Charlotte Louise.,...&Hauschild, Michael Zwicky.(2018).Pursuing necessary reductions in embedded GHG emissions of developed nations: Will efficiency improvements and changes in consumption get us there?.GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS,52,314-324. |
MLA | Bjorn, Anders,et al."Pursuing necessary reductions in embedded GHG emissions of developed nations: Will efficiency improvements and changes in consumption get us there?".GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS 52(2018):314-324. |
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