Blinders, Blunders, and Wars: What America and China Can Learn

doi:10.7249/RR768

GSTDTAP > 资源环境科学

DOI	10.7249/RR768
报告编号	RR-768-RC
	Blinders, Blunders, and Wars: What America and China Can Learn
	David C. Gompert; Hans Binnendijk; Bonny Lin
	2014
出版年	2014
页数	328
语种	英语
国家	美国
出版者	RAND Corporation
领域	资源环境
英文摘要	The history of wars caused by misjudgments, from Napoleon's invasion of Russia to America's invasion of Iraq, reveals that leaders relied on cognitive models, or simplified representations of their worlds, that were seriously at odds with objective reality. Blinders, Blunders, and Wars analyzes eight historical examples of strategic blunders regarding war and peace and four examples of decisions that turned out well, and then applies those lessons to the current Sino-American case. Leaders' egos, intuitions, unwarranted self-confidence, and aversion to information that contradicted their views prevented them from correcting their models. Yet advisors and bureaucracies can be inadequate safeguards and can, out of fawning or fear, reinforce leaders' flawed thinking.
英文关键词	International Diplomacy RAND-initiated Assumption Based Planning China United States Intelligence Community Decisionmaking Warfare and Military Operations
URL	查看原文
来源平台	Rand Corporation
引用统计
文献类型	科技报告
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/3773
专题	资源环境科学
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	David C. Gompert,Hans Binnendijk,Bonny Lin. Blinders, Blunders, and Wars: What America and China Can Learn:RAND Corporation,2014.