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DOI10.1002/joc.4971
Understanding the spatio-temporal influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves
Loughran, Tammas F.; Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.; Alexander, Lisa V.
2017-08-01
发表期刊INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
ISSN0899-8418
EISSN1097-0088
出版年2017
卷号37期号:10
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia
英文摘要

Some of the major drivers of extreme temperatures in Australia are related to large-scale variations in the climate. While many of the relationships between climate variability and heatwaves have been described, the preceding climate conditions and the circulation patterns responsible for interannual heatwave variations are still poorly understood. We have used rotated principal component analysis (PCA) to describe the variance of frequency, duration, magnitude and timing of Australian summer heatwaves. This provides a simple means of investigating both the spatial patterns of circulation and the preceding climate mode conditions of summer heatwaves. We find that spatial patterns of heatwave variability associated with El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) were focused in the north and northeast of Australia for heatwave occurrence. Patterns of heatwave amplitude in southeastern Australia were also weakly related to ENSO. The PCA did not find any direct, concurrent Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) or Southern Annular Mode (SAM) signal. However, lead correlations indicate that winter IOD conditions can have a weak indirect effect on heatwave occurrence in northeast Australia and similarly, winter SAM conditions can affect heatwave timing in central eastern Australia. Regressions reveal that ENSO related heatwave duration and frequency in the northeast are related to the movement of the Walker circulation, while southeastern heatwave amplitude is associated with a north-south movement of the Tasman high pressure system. These results may lead to improvements in understanding the predictability and general preparedness for heatwaves in the summer season.


英文关键词climate variability ENSO excess heat factor extremes heatwaves Australia
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000406706200017
WOS关键词TROPICAL INDIAN-OCEAN ; SOUTHERN ANNULAR MODE ; HEAT WAVES ; EL-NINO ; SURFACE TEMPERATURE ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; PREDICTABILITY ; OSCILLATION ; CIRCULATION ; ROTATION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/37529
专题气候变化
作者单位Univ New South Wales Australia, Climate Change Res Ctr, Gate 11 Bot St,Level 4,Mathews Bldg, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Loughran, Tammas F.,Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.,Alexander, Lisa V.. Understanding the spatio-temporal influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2017,37(10).
APA Loughran, Tammas F.,Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E.,&Alexander, Lisa V..(2017).Understanding the spatio-temporal influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,37(10).
MLA Loughran, Tammas F.,et al."Understanding the spatio-temporal influence of climate variability on Australian heatwaves".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY 37.10(2017).
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